Ukraine faces sustained pressure from the ongoing conflict with Russia alongside internal political frictions, including July 2026 military leadership changes and public protests over the dismissal of a popular defense minister. These events prompted rare wartime demonstrations in Kyiv but resulted in orderly transitions under President Zelenskyy rather than challenges to constitutional authority. Ukrainian security services have previously disrupted alleged plots, most notably in 2024, reinforcing institutional controls. Trader consensus reflected in low implied probabilities for a coup attempt by year-end centers on the absence of recent verifiable indicators of organized overthrow efforts, despite war-related strains and leadership adjustments. Scheduled diplomatic timelines around ceasefires and any escalation in frontline operations remain the primary variables that could alter assessments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$124,604 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
6%
$124,604 Wol.
December 31
$106,768 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine faces sustained pressure from the ongoing conflict with Russia alongside internal political frictions, including July 2026 military leadership changes and public protests over the dismissal of a popular defense minister. These events prompted rare wartime demonstrations in Kyiv but resulted in orderly transitions under President Zelenskyy rather than challenges to constitutional authority. Ukrainian security services have previously disrupted alleged plots, most notably in 2024, reinforcing institutional controls. Trader consensus reflected in low implied probabilities for a coup attempt by year-end centers on the absence of recent verifiable indicators of organized overthrow efforts, despite war-related strains and leadership adjustments. Scheduled diplomatic timelines around ceasefires and any escalation in frontline operations remain the primary variables that could alter assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Wolumen
$124,604Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine faces sustained pressure from the ongoing conflict with Russia alongside internal political frictions, including July 2026 military leadership changes and public protests over the dismissal of a popular defense minister. These events prompted rare wartime demonstrations in Kyiv but resulted in orderly transitions under President Zelenskyy rather than challenges to constitutional authority. Ukrainian security services have previously disrupted alleged plots, most notably in 2024, reinforcing institutional controls. Trader consensus reflected in low implied probabilities for a coup attempt by year-end centers on the absence of recent verifiable indicators of organized overthrow efforts, despite war-related strains and leadership adjustments. Scheduled diplomatic timelines around ceasefires and any escalation in frontline operations remain the primary variables that could alter assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$124,604Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine faces sustained pressure from the ongoing conflict with Russia alongside internal political frictions, including July 2026 military leadership changes and public protests over the dismissal of a popular defense minister. These events prompted rare wartime demonstrations in Kyiv but resulted in orderly transitions under President Zelenskyy rather than challenges to constitutional authority. Ukrainian security services have previously disrupted alleged plots, most notably in 2024, reinforcing institutional controls. Trader consensus reflected in low implied probabilities for a coup attempt by year-end centers on the absence of recent verifiable indicators of organized overthrow efforts, despite war-related strains and leadership adjustments. Scheduled diplomatic timelines around ceasefires and any escalation in frontline operations remain the primary variables that could alter assessments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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