Recent trilateral talks in Geneva and Abu Dhabi earlier in 2026 produced prisoner exchanges but stalled over core disputes on territory and security guarantees. The Kremlin stated in mid-July there are no immediate prospects for resuming negotiations despite openness to future dialogue and Turkish facilitation offers. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has proposed direct meetings with Russian President Putin and emphasized European involvement alongside U.S. mediation under President Trump, whose administration has pursued multiple rounds since early 2026. Battlefield developments, including halted Russian advances and Ukrainian strikes, alongside shifting Western diplomatic postures, continue to shape conditions for renewed engagement. Scheduled summits and any further U.S.-brokered contacts remain key variables that could influence the timing of formal talks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$264,423 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
37%
December 31
63%
$264,423 Wol.
September 30
$146,063 Wol.
37%
December 31
$99,648 Wol.
63%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent trilateral talks in Geneva and Abu Dhabi earlier in 2026 produced prisoner exchanges but stalled over core disputes on territory and security guarantees. The Kremlin stated in mid-July there are no immediate prospects for resuming negotiations despite openness to future dialogue and Turkish facilitation offers. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has proposed direct meetings with Russian President Putin and emphasized European involvement alongside U.S. mediation under President Trump, whose administration has pursued multiple rounds since early 2026. Battlefield developments, including halted Russian advances and Ukrainian strikes, alongside shifting Western diplomatic postures, continue to shape conditions for renewed engagement. Scheduled summits and any further U.S.-brokered contacts remain key variables that could influence the timing of formal talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
Wolumen
$264,423Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent trilateral talks in Geneva and Abu Dhabi earlier in 2026 produced prisoner exchanges but stalled over core disputes on territory and security guarantees. The Kremlin stated in mid-July there are no immediate prospects for resuming negotiations despite openness to future dialogue and Turkish facilitation offers. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has proposed direct meetings with Russian President Putin and emphasized European involvement alongside U.S. mediation under President Trump, whose administration has pursued multiple rounds since early 2026. Battlefield developments, including halted Russian advances and Ukrainian strikes, alongside shifting Western diplomatic postures, continue to shape conditions for renewed engagement. Scheduled summits and any further U.S.-brokered contacts remain key variables that could influence the timing of formal talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$264,423Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent trilateral talks in Geneva and Abu Dhabi earlier in 2026 produced prisoner exchanges but stalled over core disputes on territory and security guarantees. The Kremlin stated in mid-July there are no immediate prospects for resuming negotiations despite openness to future dialogue and Turkish facilitation offers. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has proposed direct meetings with Russian President Putin and emphasized European involvement alongside U.S. mediation under President Trump, whose administration has pursued multiple rounds since early 2026. Battlefield developments, including halted Russian advances and Ukrainian strikes, alongside shifting Western diplomatic postures, continue to shape conditions for renewed engagement. Scheduled summits and any further U.S.-brokered contacts remain key variables that could influence the timing of formal talks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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