Recent US diplomatic efforts, including early September visits by envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner to Moscow and Kyiv, have revived momentum for trilateral Russia-Ukraine-US talks after a stall since February. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov and Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov have signaled openness to resuming negotiations in the foreseeable future without ruling out the format, while Ukrainian officials including Kyrylo Budanov have stated preparations for a possible October round. Vladimir Putin has noted a chance for agreement, and Volodymyr Zelenskyy has welcomed engagement on security guarantees. Persistent gaps over territorial control in Donetsk and other core demands continue to shape trader assessments of near-term resumption probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$768,503 Wol.
September 30
4%
October 15
25%
October 31
42%
November 30
58%
December 31
68%
$768,503 Wol.
September 30
4%
October 15
25%
October 31
42%
November 30
58%
December 31
68%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Recent US diplomatic efforts, including early September visits by envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner to Moscow and Kyiv, have revived momentum for trilateral Russia-Ukraine-US talks after a stall since February. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov and Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov have signaled openness to resuming negotiations in the foreseeable future without ruling out the format, while Ukrainian officials including Kyrylo Budanov have stated preparations for a possible October round. Vladimir Putin has noted a chance for agreement, and Volodymyr Zelenskyy has welcomed engagement on security guarantees. Persistent gaps over territorial control in Donetsk and other core demands continue to shape trader assessments of near-term resumption probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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