Russia maintains a consolidated authoritarian system under President Vladimir Putin, with power centralized through loyal elites in security services and the military, limiting avenues for organized challenges. Heightened Kremlin security measures reported in spring 2026, tied to concerns over information leaks and potential plots involving figures like Sergei Shoigu, reflected elite tensions amid the Ukraine conflict but produced no verifiable coup attempt. Subsequent analyses through July 2026 highlight internal strains and divergent trends within the regime yet note sustained control, suppressed opposition, and prioritization of stability over disruption. No major institutional fractures, public military revolts, or elite defections have emerged in recent months, aligning with trader consensus that barriers to a 2026 attempt remain high.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano7% szansa
$118,354 Wol.
$118,354 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
7% szansa
$118,354 Wol.
$118,354 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia maintains a consolidated authoritarian system under President Vladimir Putin, with power centralized through loyal elites in security services and the military, limiting avenues for organized challenges. Heightened Kremlin security measures reported in spring 2026, tied to concerns over information leaks and potential plots involving figures like Sergei Shoigu, reflected elite tensions amid the Ukraine conflict but produced no verifiable coup attempt. Subsequent analyses through July 2026 highlight internal strains and divergent trends within the regime yet note sustained control, suppressed opposition, and prioritization of stability over disruption. No major institutional fractures, public military revolts, or elite defections have emerged in recent months, aligning with trader consensus that barriers to a 2026 attempt remain high.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Wolumen
$118,354Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia maintains a consolidated authoritarian system under President Vladimir Putin, with power centralized through loyal elites in security services and the military, limiting avenues for organized challenges. Heightened Kremlin security measures reported in spring 2026, tied to concerns over information leaks and potential plots involving figures like Sergei Shoigu, reflected elite tensions amid the Ukraine conflict but produced no verifiable coup attempt. Subsequent analyses through July 2026 highlight internal strains and divergent trends within the regime yet note sustained control, suppressed opposition, and prioritization of stability over disruption. No major institutional fractures, public military revolts, or elite defections have emerged in recent months, aligning with trader consensus that barriers to a 2026 attempt remain high.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$118,354Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia maintains a consolidated authoritarian system under President Vladimir Putin, with power centralized through loyal elites in security services and the military, limiting avenues for organized challenges. Heightened Kremlin security measures reported in spring 2026, tied to concerns over information leaks and potential plots involving figures like Sergei Shoigu, reflected elite tensions amid the Ukraine conflict but produced no verifiable coup attempt. Subsequent analyses through July 2026 highlight internal strains and divergent trends within the regime yet note sustained control, suppressed opposition, and prioritization of stability over disruption. No major institutional fractures, public military revolts, or elite defections have emerged in recent months, aligning with trader consensus that barriers to a 2026 attempt remain high.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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