Ongoing stalled bilateral negotiations and the collapse of a U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire in mid-May 2026 amid mutual violation claims have sharply reduced prospects for scheduling a Ukrainian national referendum on any peace agreement before late 2026. President Zelenskyy has repeatedly stated that any deal must first include a durable ceasefire plus credible security guarantees, after which a referendum could follow alongside postponed presidential elections. Russia continues to insist on full territorial concessions in the remaining Donbas areas as a precondition for halting hostilities. February discussions under external pressure for a possible May vote produced no framework agreement, while over 50 Ukrainian civil society groups have voiced opposition to endorsing terms linked to Russian demands and a March poll showed only conditional public support absent a scheduled vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUkraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$432,511 Wol.
June 30
5%
September 30
13%
December 31
21%
$432,511 Wol.
June 30
5%
September 30
13%
December 31
21%
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 29, 2025, 1:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing stalled bilateral negotiations and the collapse of a U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire in mid-May 2026 amid mutual violation claims have sharply reduced prospects for scheduling a Ukrainian national referendum on any peace agreement before late 2026. President Zelenskyy has repeatedly stated that any deal must first include a durable ceasefire plus credible security guarantees, after which a referendum could follow alongside postponed presidential elections. Russia continues to insist on full territorial concessions in the remaining Donbas areas as a precondition for halting hostilities. February discussions under external pressure for a possible May vote produced no framework agreement, while over 50 Ukrainian civil society groups have voiced opposition to endorsing terms linked to Russian demands and a March poll showed only conditional public support absent a scheduled vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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