Following Ali Khamenei's 2026 death, the @khamenei_ir account has shifted to posting archival statements of the martyred leader, with volume tied to Iran's diplomatic calendar rather than new commentary. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear talks, suspended or conditional on Lebanon ceasefire progress and asset releases, plus related regional tensions create variable incentives for selective releases that could cluster in low double digits or stay minimal. The near-even distribution across bins around 25% each reflects trader uncertainty over the precise timing and intensity of any June developments within the narrow resolution window, where stalled negotiations or incremental diplomatic signals could shift activity without a clear directional catalyst.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKhamenei # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?
Khamenei # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?
30-34 27%
35-39 27%
5-9 26%
40-44 26%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 23, 2026
<5
42%
5-9
26%
10-14
25%
15-19
26%
20-24
26%
25-29
25%
30-34
27%
35-39
27%
40-44
26%
45-49
24%
50-54
26%
55-59
26%
60+
25%
30-34 27%
35-39 27%
5-9 26%
40-44 26%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 23, 2026
<5
$22 Wol.
42%
5-9
$0 Wol.
26%
10-14
$0 Wol.
25%
15-19
$0 Wol.
26%
20-24
$0 Wol.
26%
25-29
$0 Wol.
25%
30-34
$0 Wol.
27%
35-39
$0 Wol.
27%
40-44
$0 Wol.
26%
45-49
$10 Wol.
24%
50-54
$9 Wol.
26%
55-59
$10 Wol.
26%
60+
$10 Wol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Following Ali Khamenei's 2026 death, the @khamenei_ir account has shifted to posting archival statements of the martyred leader, with volume tied to Iran's diplomatic calendar rather than new commentary. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear talks, suspended or conditional on Lebanon ceasefire progress and asset releases, plus related regional tensions create variable incentives for selective releases that could cluster in low double digits or stay minimal. The near-even distribution across bins around 25% each reflects trader uncertainty over the precise timing and intensity of any June developments within the narrow resolution window, where stalled negotiations or incremental diplomatic signals could shift activity without a clear directional catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Wolumen
$10Data zakończenia
Jun 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Following Ali Khamenei's 2026 death, the @khamenei_ir account has shifted to posting archival statements of the martyred leader, with volume tied to Iran's diplomatic calendar rather than new commentary. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear talks, suspended or conditional on Lebanon ceasefire progress and asset releases, plus related regional tensions create variable incentives for selective releases that could cluster in low double digits or stay minimal. The near-even distribution across bins around 25% each reflects trader uncertainty over the precise timing and intensity of any June developments within the narrow resolution window, where stalled negotiations or incremental diplomatic signals could shift activity without a clear directional catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$10Data zakończenia
Jun 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Following Ali Khamenei's 2026 death, the @khamenei_ir account has shifted to posting archival statements of the martyred leader, with volume tied to Iran's diplomatic calendar rather than new commentary. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear talks, suspended or conditional on Lebanon ceasefire progress and asset releases, plus related regional tensions create variable incentives for selective releases that could cluster in low double digits or stay minimal. The near-even distribution across bins around 25% each reflects trader uncertainty over the precise timing and intensity of any June developments within the narrow resolution window, where stalled negotiations or incremental diplomatic signals could shift activity without a clear directional catalyst.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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