Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X through mid-May has positioned the 200-219 tweet range as the clear market frontrunner, reflecting his typical pattern of frequent engagement with company milestones, AI topics, and cultural commentary. Recent activity tied to Tesla’s FSD v14.3.3 rollout, Starship V3 preparations, and pointed exchanges on political incentives has sustained momentum without major slowdowns, aligning trader consensus with observed daily volume. As the May 12–19 window closes, final-day replies and media shares could nudge totals toward the upper end of that band or trigger a late surge if breaking news prompts additional threads. Historical weekly averages around 25–35 posts per day continue to anchor expectations, underscoring how Musk’s real-time platform presence directly shapes these implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano200-219 46.7%
180-199 23.9%
220-239 23.4%
240-259 3.5%
$9,870,801 Wol.
$9,870,801 Wol.
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
24%
200-219
47%
220-239
23%
240-259
4%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 46.7%
180-199 23.9%
220-239 23.4%
240-259 3.5%
$9,870,801 Wol.
$9,870,801 Wol.
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
24%
200-219
47%
220-239
23%
240-259
4%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X through mid-May has positioned the 200-219 tweet range as the clear market frontrunner, reflecting his typical pattern of frequent engagement with company milestones, AI topics, and cultural commentary. Recent activity tied to Tesla’s FSD v14.3.3 rollout, Starship V3 preparations, and pointed exchanges on political incentives has sustained momentum without major slowdowns, aligning trader consensus with observed daily volume. As the May 12–19 window closes, final-day replies and media shares could nudge totals toward the upper end of that band or trigger a late surge if breaking news prompts additional threads. Historical weekly averages around 25–35 posts per day continue to anchor expectations, underscoring how Musk’s real-time platform presence directly shapes these implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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