Elon Musk's tweet volume in the coming three-day window reflects his established pattern of high but variable activity on X, with traders positioning the 40-64 range as the frontrunner based on recent daily averages and the absence of major breaking news catalysts. Historical data from comparable short periods shows him typically generating 15-25 posts per day when focused on business updates, product launches, or casual commentary, aligning with the market-implied probability for that bucket. Upcoming factors like potential Tesla or SpaceX announcements could push totals higher, yet the current lack of confirmed high-profile events keeps the 65-89 range as a solid secondary contender. This setup underscores how prediction markets aggregate real-time sentiment around his unpredictable but data-backed social media rhythm.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano40-64 43%
65-89 28%
<40 17%
90-114 9%
NOWE
$16,279 Wol.
NOWE
$16,279 Wol.
May 20, 2026
<40
17%
40-64
43%
65-89
28%
90-114
9%
115-139
3%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 43%
65-89 28%
<40 17%
90-114 9%
NOWE
$16,279 Wol.
NOWE
$16,279 Wol.
May 20, 2026
<40
$386 Wol.
17%
40-64
$1,260 Wol.
43%
65-89
$1,021 Wol.
28%
90-114
$4,334 Wol.
9%
115-139
$223 Wol.
3%
140-164
$1,141 Wol.
<1%
165-189
$1,306 Wol.
<1%
190-214
$2,310 Wol.
<1%
215-239
$2,225 Wol.
<1%
240+
$2,073 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's tweet volume in the coming three-day window reflects his established pattern of high but variable activity on X, with traders positioning the 40-64 range as the frontrunner based on recent daily averages and the absence of major breaking news catalysts. Historical data from comparable short periods shows him typically generating 15-25 posts per day when focused on business updates, product launches, or casual commentary, aligning with the market-implied probability for that bucket. Upcoming factors like potential Tesla or SpaceX announcements could push totals higher, yet the current lack of confirmed high-profile events keeps the 65-89 range as a solid secondary contender. This setup underscores how prediction markets aggregate real-time sentiment around his unpredictable but data-backed social media rhythm.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Wolumen
$16,279Data zakończenia
May 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's tweet volume in the coming three-day window reflects his established pattern of high but variable activity on X, with traders positioning the 40-64 range as the frontrunner based on recent daily averages and the absence of major breaking news catalysts. Historical data from comparable short periods shows him typically generating 15-25 posts per day when focused on business updates, product launches, or casual commentary, aligning with the market-implied probability for that bucket. Upcoming factors like potential Tesla or SpaceX announcements could push totals higher, yet the current lack of confirmed high-profile events keeps the 65-89 range as a solid secondary contender. This setup underscores how prediction markets aggregate real-time sentiment around his unpredictable but data-backed social media rhythm.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$16,279Data zakończenia
May 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskElon Musk's tweet volume in the coming three-day window reflects his established pattern of high but variable activity on X, with traders positioning the 40-64 range as the frontrunner based on recent daily averages and the absence of major breaking news catalysts. Historical data from comparable short periods shows him typically generating 15-25 posts per day when focused on business updates, product launches, or casual commentary, aligning with the market-implied probability for that bucket. Upcoming factors like potential Tesla or SpaceX announcements could push totals higher, yet the current lack of confirmed high-profile events keeps the 65-89 range as a solid secondary contender. This setup underscores how prediction markets aggregate real-time sentiment around his unpredictable but data-backed social media rhythm.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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