Australia's Delta Goodrem has emerged as the overwhelming frontrunner to claim the Second Semi-Final win at Eurovision 2026, with traders assigning a 69.5% implied probability following her standout "Eclipse" performance on May 14 in Vienna. The visually arresting staging—featuring an eclipse-themed light show, Swarovski-embellished gown, live harpist, and exclusive pyro effects—paired with her commanding vocals and star power, impressed juries in rehearsals and captivated televoters, boosting her from mid-pack odds to clear favorite status. Ukraine's LELÉKA delivered an emotionally resonant "Ridnym," leveraging strong historical public vote momentum for 12.2%, while Bulgaria's DARA surprised with high-energy "Bangaranga" and top audience poll finishes at 10.5%. All top contenders qualified for Saturday's Grand Final, but the semi-final leaderboard reveal post-ceremony on May 17 will confirm the winner amid tight jury-televote dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoEurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner
Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner
Australia 70%
Ukraine 12.2%
Bulgaria 10.5%
Romania 6.5%
$197,219 Wol.
$197,219 Wol.
May 12, 2026
Australia
70%
Ukraine
12%
Bulgaria
11%
Romania
6%
Denmark
2%
Norway
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Albania
<1%
Cyprus
<1%
Malta
<1%
Australia 70%
Ukraine 12.2%
Bulgaria 10.5%
Romania 6.5%
$197,219 Wol.
$197,219 Wol.
May 12, 2026
Australia
$37,978 Wol.
70%
Ukraine
$11,779 Wol.
12%
Bulgaria
$11,999 Wol.
11%
Romania
$16,254 Wol.
6%
Denmark
$45,016 Wol.
2%
Norway
$7,900 Wol.
<1%
Czechia
$9,186 Wol.
<1%
Albania
$7,938 Wol.
<1%
Cyprus
$6,922 Wol.
<1%
Malta
$8,110 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Australia's Delta Goodrem has emerged as the overwhelming frontrunner to claim the Second Semi-Final win at Eurovision 2026, with traders assigning a 69.5% implied probability following her standout "Eclipse" performance on May 14 in Vienna. The visually arresting staging—featuring an eclipse-themed light show, Swarovski-embellished gown, live harpist, and exclusive pyro effects—paired with her commanding vocals and star power, impressed juries in rehearsals and captivated televoters, boosting her from mid-pack odds to clear favorite status. Ukraine's LELÉKA delivered an emotionally resonant "Ridnym," leveraging strong historical public vote momentum for 12.2%, while Bulgaria's DARA surprised with high-energy "Bangaranga" and top audience poll finishes at 10.5%. All top contenders qualified for Saturday's Grand Final, but the semi-final leaderboard reveal post-ceremony on May 17 will confirm the winner amid tight jury-televote dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Rynek otwarty: May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
Wolumen
$197,219Data zakończenia
May 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Australia's Delta Goodrem has emerged as the overwhelming frontrunner to claim the Second Semi-Final win at Eurovision 2026, with traders assigning a 69.5% implied probability following her standout "Eclipse" performance on May 14 in Vienna. The visually arresting staging—featuring an eclipse-themed light show, Swarovski-embellished gown, live harpist, and exclusive pyro effects—paired with her commanding vocals and star power, impressed juries in rehearsals and captivated televoters, boosting her from mid-pack odds to clear favorite status. Ukraine's LELÉKA delivered an emotionally resonant "Ridnym," leveraging strong historical public vote momentum for 12.2%, while Bulgaria's DARA surprised with high-energy "Bangaranga" and top audience poll finishes at 10.5%. All top contenders qualified for Saturday's Grand Final, but the semi-final leaderboard reveal post-ceremony on May 17 will confirm the winner amid tight jury-televote dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Wolumen
$197,219Data zakończenia
May 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Australia's Delta Goodrem has emerged as the overwhelming frontrunner to claim the Second Semi-Final win at Eurovision 2026, with traders assigning a 69.5% implied probability following her standout "Eclipse" performance on May 14 in Vienna. The visually arresting staging—featuring an eclipse-themed light show, Swarovski-embellished gown, live harpist, and exclusive pyro effects—paired with her commanding vocals and star power, impressed juries in rehearsals and captivated televoters, boosting her from mid-pack odds to clear favorite status. Ukraine's LELÉKA delivered an emotionally resonant "Ridnym," leveraging strong historical public vote momentum for 12.2%, while Bulgaria's DARA surprised with high-energy "Bangaranga" and top audience poll finishes at 10.5%. All top contenders qualified for Saturday's Grand Final, but the semi-final leaderboard reveal post-ceremony on May 17 will confirm the winner amid tight jury-televote dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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