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icon for Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

icon for Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

Bulgaria 84.8%

Romania 5.0%

Ukraine 3.8%

Czechia <1%

Polymarket

$228,378 Wol.

Bulgaria 84.8%

Romania 5.0%

Ukraine 3.8%

Czechia <1%

Polymarket

$228,378 Wol.

Bulgaria

$19,470 Wol.

60%

Romania

$19,493 Wol.

5%

Ukraine

$16,310 Wol.

4%

Czechia

$9,803 Wol.

1%

Albania

$9,119 Wol.

<1%

Norway

$9,016 Wol.

<1%

Denmark

$47,939 Wol.

<1%

Cyprus

$6,922 Wol.

<1%

Malta

$8,115 Wol.

<1%

Australia

$48,053 Wol.

39%

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Bulgaria has surged to a 57.1% implied probability in the Eurovision 2026 second semi-final winner market, propelled by its high-energy staging and Dara’s commanding vocal performance that resonated strongly with both juries and televoters during the May 14 show in Vienna. Australia’s Delta Goodrem entry Eclipse sits at 39.0%, capitalizing on polished production and broad international appeal that secured a close second-place finish in live voting. Ukraine’s lower 10.2% positioning reflects solid but less dominant televote support for Leléka’s Ridnym, while Romania, Czechia and the rest trail far behind amid stiffer competition for the top spot. With the semi-final concluded, trader focus now shifts to how these results shape final positioning and any late jury adjustments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Wolumen
$228,378
Data zakończenia
May 12, 2026
Rynek otwarty
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Bulgaria has surged to a 57.1% implied probability in the Eurovision 2026 second semi-final winner market, propelled by its high-energy staging and Dara’s commanding vocal performance that resonated strongly with both juries and televoters during the May 14 show in Vienna. Australia’s Delta Goodrem entry Eclipse sits at 39.0%, capitalizing on polished production and broad international appeal that secured a close second-place finish in live voting. Ukraine’s lower 10.2% positioning reflects solid but less dominant televote support for Leléka’s Ridnym, while Romania, Czechia and the rest trail far behind amid stiffer competition for the top spot. With the semi-final concluded, trader focus now shifts to how these results shape final positioning and any late jury adjustments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Wolumen
$228,378
Data zakończenia
May 12, 2026
Rynek otwarty
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 15 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Bulgaria" z 60%, za nim "Australia" z 39%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 60¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 60% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner" wygenerował $228.4K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku May 7, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner", przeglądaj 15 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner" jest "Bulgaria" z 60%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 60% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Australia" z 39%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.