Finland’s entry “Liekinheitin” by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to clear frontrunner status at 46.9% implied probability, driven by its high-energy disco track that aligns perfectly with Eurovision’s preference for memorable hooks and theatrical staging. Trader consensus reflects strong rehearsal buzz and consistent bookie support heading into the grand final this Saturday in Vienna. Australia’s Delta Goodrem with “Eclipse” holds a solid second place at 28.6%, boosted by her established star power and post-semi-final momentum. Lower-probability contenders like Bulgaria, Israel, and Greece trail due to narrower appeal in recent polling and voting patterns, though late jury surprises remain possible in this typically unpredictable contest.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoZwycięzca Eurowizji 2026
Zwycięzca Eurowizji 2026
Finlandia 48.5%
Australia 28.6%
Izrael 7.0%
Bułgaria 6.6%
$183,647,114 Wol.
$183,647,114 Wol.
Finlandia
49%
Australia
29%
Izrael
7%
Bułgaria
7%
Grecja
4%
Rumunia
3%
Dania
1%
Francja
1%
Włochy
1%
Szwecja
1%
Ukraina
1%
Mołdawia
1%
Malta
1%
Cypr
1%
Chorwacja
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Albania
<1%
Norwegia
<1%
Czechy
<1%
Polska
<1%
Austria
<1%
Belgia
<1%
Niemcy
<1%
Litwa
<1%
Wielka Brytania
<1%
Finlandia 48.5%
Australia 28.6%
Izrael 7.0%
Bułgaria 6.6%
$183,647,114 Wol.
$183,647,114 Wol.
Finlandia
49%
Australia
29%
Izrael
7%
Bułgaria
7%
Grecja
4%
Rumunia
3%
Dania
1%
Francja
1%
Włochy
1%
Szwecja
1%
Ukraina
1%
Mołdawia
1%
Malta
1%
Cypr
1%
Chorwacja
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Albania
<1%
Norwegia
<1%
Czechy
<1%
Polska
<1%
Austria
<1%
Belgia
<1%
Niemcy
<1%
Litwa
<1%
Wielka Brytania
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland’s entry “Liekinheitin” by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to clear frontrunner status at 46.9% implied probability, driven by its high-energy disco track that aligns perfectly with Eurovision’s preference for memorable hooks and theatrical staging. Trader consensus reflects strong rehearsal buzz and consistent bookie support heading into the grand final this Saturday in Vienna. Australia’s Delta Goodrem with “Eclipse” holds a solid second place at 28.6%, boosted by her established star power and post-semi-final momentum. Lower-probability contenders like Bulgaria, Israel, and Greece trail due to narrower appeal in recent polling and voting patterns, though late jury surprises remain possible in this typically unpredictable contest.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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