Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting a resilient U.S. economy with no acute crisis signals. Q1 2026 real GDP accelerated to 2.0% annualized growth, unemployment held steady at 4.3%, and April core CPI rose 0.4% amid sticky inflation around 3.8%, prompting some analysts like BofA to delay rate cut forecasts until mid-2027 while markets eye potential hikes. The Fed has maintained its 3.5%-3.75% target range through scheduled FOMC meetings, including April 28-29, with no unscheduled actions despite earlier political pressure. Key catalysts ahead include the June 16-17 FOMC and May jobs/CPI data, which could shift sentiment if recession risks emerge.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$104,016 Wol.
$104,016 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$104,016 Wol.
$104,016 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting a resilient U.S. economy with no acute crisis signals. Q1 2026 real GDP accelerated to 2.0% annualized growth, unemployment held steady at 4.3%, and April core CPI rose 0.4% amid sticky inflation around 3.8%, prompting some analysts like BofA to delay rate cut forecasts until mid-2027 while markets eye potential hikes. The Fed has maintained its 3.5%-3.75% target range through scheduled FOMC meetings, including April 28-29, with no unscheduled actions despite earlier political pressure. Key catalysts ahead include the June 16-17 FOMC and May jobs/CPI data, which could shift sentiment if recession risks emerge.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$104,016Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting a resilient U.S. economy with no acute crisis signals. Q1 2026 real GDP accelerated to 2.0% annualized growth, unemployment held steady at 4.3%, and April core CPI rose 0.4% amid sticky inflation around 3.8%, prompting some analysts like BofA to delay rate cut forecasts until mid-2027 while markets eye potential hikes. The Fed has maintained its 3.5%-3.75% target range through scheduled FOMC meetings, including April 28-29, with no unscheduled actions despite earlier political pressure. Key catalysts ahead include the June 16-17 FOMC and May jobs/CPI data, which could shift sentiment if recession risks emerge.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Wolumen
$104,016Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting a resilient U.S. economy with no acute crisis signals. Q1 2026 real GDP accelerated to 2.0% annualized growth, unemployment held steady at 4.3%, and April core CPI rose 0.4% amid sticky inflation around 3.8%, prompting some analysts like BofA to delay rate cut forecasts until mid-2027 while markets eye potential hikes. The Fed has maintained its 3.5%-3.75% target range through scheduled FOMC meetings, including April 28-29, with no unscheduled actions despite earlier political pressure. Key catalysts ahead include the June 16-17 FOMC and May jobs/CPI data, which could shift sentiment if recession risks emerge.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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