Skip to main content
icon for Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner
Polityka·Manchester

Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner
Polityka·Manchester

Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner

Bev Craig 71%

Geraldine Coggins 22%

Dan Barker 4.0%

Paul Dennett 2.0%

Polymarket
NOWE

Bev Craig 71%

Geraldine Coggins 22%

Dan Barker 4.0%

Paul Dennett 2.0%

Polymarket
NOWE
icon for Bev Craig

Bev Craig

$1,532 Wol.

71%

icon for Geraldine Coggins

Geraldine Coggins

$545 Wol.

22%

icon for Dan Barker

Dan Barker

$595 Wol.

4%

icon for Paul Dennett

Paul Dennett

$304 Wol.

2%

icon for Kate Green

Kate Green

$548 Wol.

2%

icon for Laura Evans

Laura Evans

$583 Wol.

2%

icon for Jake Austin

Jake Austin

$183 Wol.

1%

icon for Arooj Shah

Arooj Shah

$183 Wol.

1%

icon for Nick Buckley

Nick Buckley

$434 Wol.

<1%

icon for Hannah Spencer

Hannah Spencer

$435 Wol.

<1%

The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).The Greater Manchester mayoral by-election on 30 July 2026, triggered by Andy Burnham’s resignation after winning the Makerfield parliamentary seat, features a compressed timeline that keeps probabilities clustered among leading Labour figures and several opposition contenders. Trader pricing reflects uncertainty over Labour’s selection process, with Bev Craig positioned as the frontrunner alongside names such as Arooj Shah and others in the party’s local base, while Paul Dennett serves only as interim acting mayor. Recent developments, including the by-election date confirmation and candidate speculation, have prevented any single outcome from pulling ahead decisively. Factors such as voter turnout patterns, supplementary vote mechanics, and the performance of Reform UK, Conservative, Liberal Democrat, Green, and independent candidates could still shift implied probabilities before nominations close and ballots are cast.

The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).
Wolumen
$5,343
Data zakończenia
Jul 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jun 19, 2026, 11:58 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).
The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).The Greater Manchester mayoral by-election on 30 July 2026, triggered by Andy Burnham’s resignation after winning the Makerfield parliamentary seat, features a compressed timeline that keeps probabilities clustered among leading Labour figures and several opposition contenders. Trader pricing reflects uncertainty over Labour’s selection process, with Bev Craig positioned as the frontrunner alongside names such as Arooj Shah and others in the party’s local base, while Paul Dennett serves only as interim acting mayor. Recent developments, including the by-election date confirmation and candidate speculation, have prevented any single outcome from pulling ahead decisively. Factors such as voter turnout patterns, supplementary vote mechanics, and the performance of Reform UK, Conservative, Liberal Democrat, Green, and independent candidates could still shift implied probabilities before nominations close and ballots are cast.

The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).
Wolumen
$5,343
Data zakończenia
Jul 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jun 19, 2026, 11:58 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 10 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Bev Craig" z 71%, za nim "Geraldine Coggins" z 22%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 71¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 71% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Jun 19, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner", przeglądaj 10 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner" jest "Bev Craig" z 71%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 71% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Geraldine Coggins" z 22%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.