Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Houston's July 31 high near 96–98°F, aligning with the 61% market-implied probability for 96–97°F. Typical late-July normals sit at 96°F at Houston IAH, with recent atmospheric patterns featuring modest afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies, limited moisture, and steering flows that favor upper-90s peaks without strong capping inversions or heat-dome intensification. Long-range guidance from AccuWeather and others shows daily July highs generally in the 98–101°F range amid above-average seasonal warmth, yet no immediate tropical moisture surge or frontal passage is expected to suppress or elevate readings beyond this narrow band. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of outcomes around the climatological mean, with lower probabilities assigned to 100°F+ scenarios that would require unexpected model shifts before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on July 31?
Highest temperature in Houston on July 31?
96-97°F 50%
94-95°F 21%
98-99°F 21%
102-103°F 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 31, 2026
87°F or below
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
21%
96-97°F
50%
98-99°F
21%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
4%
106°F or higher
4%
96-97°F 50%
94-95°F 21%
98-99°F 21%
102-103°F 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 31, 2026
87°F or below
$0 Wol.
1%
88-89°F
$20 Wol.
1%
90-91°F
$31 Wol.
6%
92-93°F
$0 Wol.
4%
94-95°F
$43 Wol.
21%
96-97°F
$575 Wol.
50%
98-99°F
$13 Wol.
21%
100-101°F
$10 Wol.
5%
102-103°F
$10 Wol.
7%
104-105°F
$20 Wol.
4%
106°F or higher
$15 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Houston's July 31 high near 96–98°F, aligning with the 61% market-implied probability for 96–97°F. Typical late-July normals sit at 96°F at Houston IAH, with recent atmospheric patterns featuring modest afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies, limited moisture, and steering flows that favor upper-90s peaks without strong capping inversions or heat-dome intensification. Long-range guidance from AccuWeather and others shows daily July highs generally in the 98–101°F range amid above-average seasonal warmth, yet no immediate tropical moisture surge or frontal passage is expected to suppress or elevate readings beyond this narrow band. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of outcomes around the climatological mean, with lower probabilities assigned to 100°F+ scenarios that would require unexpected model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$737Data zakończenia
Jul 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Houston's July 31 high near 96–98°F, aligning with the 61% market-implied probability for 96–97°F. Typical late-July normals sit at 96°F at Houston IAH, with recent atmospheric patterns featuring modest afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies, limited moisture, and steering flows that favor upper-90s peaks without strong capping inversions or heat-dome intensification. Long-range guidance from AccuWeather and others shows daily July highs generally in the 98–101°F range amid above-average seasonal warmth, yet no immediate tropical moisture surge or frontal passage is expected to suppress or elevate readings beyond this narrow band. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of outcomes around the climatological mean, with lower probabilities assigned to 100°F+ scenarios that would require unexpected model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$737Data zakończenia
Jul 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Houston's July 31 high near 96–98°F, aligning with the 61% market-implied probability for 96–97°F. Typical late-July normals sit at 96°F at Houston IAH, with recent atmospheric patterns featuring modest afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies, limited moisture, and steering flows that favor upper-90s peaks without strong capping inversions or heat-dome intensification. Long-range guidance from AccuWeather and others shows daily July highs generally in the 98–101°F range amid above-average seasonal warmth, yet no immediate tropical moisture surge or frontal passage is expected to suppress or elevate readings beyond this narrow band. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of outcomes around the climatological mean, with lower probabilities assigned to 100°F+ scenarios that would require unexpected model shifts before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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