Recent forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate a persistent heat wave over northern France, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge advecting warm subtropical air, with Paris maximum temperatures projected near 31–33 °C on August 2. Ensemble spread arises mainly from differences in low-level moisture, timing of any diurnal heating peaks, and the chance of scattered afternoon cloud build-up or isolated thunderstorms that could cap the daily high by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology for central Paris shows a mean daily maximum of 26 °C, so current anomalies reflect the strength of the ongoing ridge. With 32 °C and 31 °C outcomes nearly tied in market-implied odds, traders are weighting the balance between continued clear-sky insolation and the narrow window for convective cooling on the final model runs before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on August 2?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 2?
32°C 38%
31°C 35%
33°C 17%
30°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 2, 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
15%
31°C
35%
32°C
38%
33°C
17%
34°C
3%
35°C
7%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 38%
31°C 35%
33°C 17%
30°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 2, 2026
28°C or below
$15 Wol.
2%
29°C
$37 Wol.
6%
30°C
$29 Wol.
15%
31°C
$53 Wol.
35%
32°C
$51 Wol.
38%
33°C
$40 Wol.
17%
34°C
$22 Wol.
3%
35°C
$20 Wol.
7%
36°C
$15 Wol.
2%
37°C
$22 Wol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$22 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate a persistent heat wave over northern France, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge advecting warm subtropical air, with Paris maximum temperatures projected near 31–33 °C on August 2. Ensemble spread arises mainly from differences in low-level moisture, timing of any diurnal heating peaks, and the chance of scattered afternoon cloud build-up or isolated thunderstorms that could cap the daily high by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology for central Paris shows a mean daily maximum of 26 °C, so current anomalies reflect the strength of the ongoing ridge. With 32 °C and 31 °C outcomes nearly tied in market-implied odds, traders are weighting the balance between continued clear-sky insolation and the narrow window for convective cooling on the final model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$329Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate a persistent heat wave over northern France, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge advecting warm subtropical air, with Paris maximum temperatures projected near 31–33 °C on August 2. Ensemble spread arises mainly from differences in low-level moisture, timing of any diurnal heating peaks, and the chance of scattered afternoon cloud build-up or isolated thunderstorms that could cap the daily high by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology for central Paris shows a mean daily maximum of 26 °C, so current anomalies reflect the strength of the ongoing ridge. With 32 °C and 31 °C outcomes nearly tied in market-implied odds, traders are weighting the balance between continued clear-sky insolation and the narrow window for convective cooling on the final model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$329Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate a persistent heat wave over northern France, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge advecting warm subtropical air, with Paris maximum temperatures projected near 31–33 °C on August 2. Ensemble spread arises mainly from differences in low-level moisture, timing of any diurnal heating peaks, and the chance of scattered afternoon cloud build-up or isolated thunderstorms that could cap the daily high by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology for central Paris shows a mean daily maximum of 26 °C, so current anomalies reflect the strength of the ongoing ridge. With 32 °C and 31 °C outcomes nearly tied in market-implied odds, traders are weighting the balance between continued clear-sky insolation and the narrow window for convective cooling on the final model runs before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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