A strong European heat dome has driven temperatures well above seasonal norms across northern France, with Paris forecast to peak in the upper 30s °C on June 22 amid clear skies, light winds, and intense solar insolation. Official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble runs from ECMWF show consensus around 38–39 °C, consistent with the heatwave’s multi-day persistence and urban heat-island amplification in the city center. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on these values because small differences hinge on exact peak-hour timing, minor cloud intrusions, or boundary-layer mixing—factors that short-range models resolve with limited spread. Higher outcomes near 40–41 °C remain plausible if the ridge strengthens or downslope warming intensifies, while probabilities drop sharply below 37 °C given the entrenched warm air mass and absence of cooling advection in current guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on June 22?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 22?
38°C 33%
39°C 29%
40°C 21%
37°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 22, 2026
34°C or below
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
7%
37°C
12%
38°C
33%
39°C
29%
40°C
21%
41°C
10%
42°C
9%
43°C
6%
44°C or higher
<1%
38°C 33%
39°C 29%
40°C 21%
37°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 22, 2026
34°C or below
$15 Wol.
1%
35°C
$4 Wol.
2%
36°C
$0 Wol.
7%
37°C
$48 Wol.
12%
38°C
$23 Wol.
33%
39°C
$52 Wol.
29%
40°C
$1 Wol.
21%
41°C
$0 Wol.
10%
42°C
$0 Wol.
9%
43°C
$5 Wol.
6%
44°C or higher
$199 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong European heat dome has driven temperatures well above seasonal norms across northern France, with Paris forecast to peak in the upper 30s °C on June 22 amid clear skies, light winds, and intense solar insolation. Official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble runs from ECMWF show consensus around 38–39 °C, consistent with the heatwave’s multi-day persistence and urban heat-island amplification in the city center. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on these values because small differences hinge on exact peak-hour timing, minor cloud intrusions, or boundary-layer mixing—factors that short-range models resolve with limited spread. Higher outcomes near 40–41 °C remain plausible if the ridge strengthens or downslope warming intensifies, while probabilities drop sharply below 37 °C given the entrenched warm air mass and absence of cooling advection in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$347Data zakończenia
Jun 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong European heat dome has driven temperatures well above seasonal norms across northern France, with Paris forecast to peak in the upper 30s °C on June 22 amid clear skies, light winds, and intense solar insolation. Official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble runs from ECMWF show consensus around 38–39 °C, consistent with the heatwave’s multi-day persistence and urban heat-island amplification in the city center. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on these values because small differences hinge on exact peak-hour timing, minor cloud intrusions, or boundary-layer mixing—factors that short-range models resolve with limited spread. Higher outcomes near 40–41 °C remain plausible if the ridge strengthens or downslope warming intensifies, while probabilities drop sharply below 37 °C given the entrenched warm air mass and absence of cooling advection in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$347Data zakończenia
Jun 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...A strong European heat dome has driven temperatures well above seasonal norms across northern France, with Paris forecast to peak in the upper 30s °C on June 22 amid clear skies, light winds, and intense solar insolation. Official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble runs from ECMWF show consensus around 38–39 °C, consistent with the heatwave’s multi-day persistence and urban heat-island amplification in the city center. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on these values because small differences hinge on exact peak-hour timing, minor cloud intrusions, or boundary-layer mixing—factors that short-range models resolve with limited spread. Higher outcomes near 40–41 °C remain plausible if the ridge strengthens or downslope warming intensifies, while probabilities drop sharply below 37 °C given the entrenched warm air mass and absence of cooling advection in current guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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