Traders see the tight contest between 35°C and 36°C as reflecting subtle forecast variability for Shenzhen on August 11. Subtropical monsoon conditions bring high solar insolation and humidity near 80 percent, with official models from sources like AccuWeather and local agencies showing daily maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius amid scattered thunderstorms. Cloud cover and convective timing can cap peaks by reducing afternoon heating or allow brief clears that push readings one degree higher. Urban heat-island effects and exact station placement add minor resolution uncertainty. Recent August analogs and current ensemble guidance favor outcomes clustered around 35–36°C, with lower probabilities for extremes given typical seasonal steering patterns and precipitation chances.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 11?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 11?
36°C 34%
35°C 30%
34°C 19%
37°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 11, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
6%
33°C
9%
34°C
20%
35°C
30%
36°C
34%
37°C
16%
38°C
5%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 34%
35°C 30%
34°C 19%
37°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 11, 2026
29°C or below
$12 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$12 Wol.
1%
31°C
$10 Wol.
3%
32°C
$10 Wol.
6%
33°C
$0 Wol.
9%
34°C
$53 Wol.
20%
35°C
$11 Wol.
30%
36°C
$82 Wol.
34%
37°C
$2 Wol.
16%
38°C
$155 Wol.
5%
39°C or higher
$524 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the tight contest between 35°C and 36°C as reflecting subtle forecast variability for Shenzhen on August 11. Subtropical monsoon conditions bring high solar insolation and humidity near 80 percent, with official models from sources like AccuWeather and local agencies showing daily maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius amid scattered thunderstorms. Cloud cover and convective timing can cap peaks by reducing afternoon heating or allow brief clears that push readings one degree higher. Urban heat-island effects and exact station placement add minor resolution uncertainty. Recent August analogs and current ensemble guidance favor outcomes clustered around 35–36°C, with lower probabilities for extremes given typical seasonal steering patterns and precipitation chances.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$871Data zakończenia
Aug 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the tight contest between 35°C and 36°C as reflecting subtle forecast variability for Shenzhen on August 11. Subtropical monsoon conditions bring high solar insolation and humidity near 80 percent, with official models from sources like AccuWeather and local agencies showing daily maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius amid scattered thunderstorms. Cloud cover and convective timing can cap peaks by reducing afternoon heating or allow brief clears that push readings one degree higher. Urban heat-island effects and exact station placement add minor resolution uncertainty. Recent August analogs and current ensemble guidance favor outcomes clustered around 35–36°C, with lower probabilities for extremes given typical seasonal steering patterns and precipitation chances.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$871Data zakończenia
Aug 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the tight contest between 35°C and 36°C as reflecting subtle forecast variability for Shenzhen on August 11. Subtropical monsoon conditions bring high solar insolation and humidity near 80 percent, with official models from sources like AccuWeather and local agencies showing daily maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius amid scattered thunderstorms. Cloud cover and convective timing can cap peaks by reducing afternoon heating or allow brief clears that push readings one degree higher. Urban heat-island effects and exact station placement add minor resolution uncertainty. Recent August analogs and current ensemble guidance favor outcomes clustered around 35–36°C, with lower probabilities for extremes given typical seasonal steering patterns and precipitation chances.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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