Latest official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum of 29°C for August 11 under mainly fine, extremely hot conditions with west-to-southwest winds, consistent with the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures amid ongoing regional warming trends. Nearby model guidance and extended outlooks cluster between 28–29°C overnight lows, driven by high humidity (often 50–90%), limited cloud cover or rainfall to enhance radiative cooling, and typical summer urban heat retention. With leading market-implied probabilities split closely between 28°C and 29°C, traders are pricing in residual uncertainty from potential forecast revisions in the final model runs or localized variations at the official measuring site before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?
29°C 40%
30°C 23%
28°C 21%
27°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 11, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
16%
28°C
21%
29°C
48%
30°C
23%
31°C
10%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 40%
30°C 23%
28°C 21%
27°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 11, 2026
24°C or below
$34 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Wol.
1%
26°C
$0 Wol.
4%
27°C
$0 Wol.
16%
28°C
$5 Wol.
21%
29°C
$15 Wol.
48%
30°C
$33 Wol.
23%
31°C
$0 Wol.
10%
32°C
$27 Wol.
1%
33°C
$5 Wol.
1%
34°C or higher
$140 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum of 29°C for August 11 under mainly fine, extremely hot conditions with west-to-southwest winds, consistent with the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures amid ongoing regional warming trends. Nearby model guidance and extended outlooks cluster between 28–29°C overnight lows, driven by high humidity (often 50–90%), limited cloud cover or rainfall to enhance radiative cooling, and typical summer urban heat retention. With leading market-implied probabilities split closely between 28°C and 29°C, traders are pricing in residual uncertainty from potential forecast revisions in the final model runs or localized variations at the official measuring site before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$259Data zakończenia
Aug 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum of 29°C for August 11 under mainly fine, extremely hot conditions with west-to-southwest winds, consistent with the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures amid ongoing regional warming trends. Nearby model guidance and extended outlooks cluster between 28–29°C overnight lows, driven by high humidity (often 50–90%), limited cloud cover or rainfall to enhance radiative cooling, and typical summer urban heat retention. With leading market-implied probabilities split closely between 28°C and 29°C, traders are pricing in residual uncertainty from potential forecast revisions in the final model runs or localized variations at the official measuring site before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$259Data zakończenia
Aug 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum of 29°C for August 11 under mainly fine, extremely hot conditions with west-to-southwest winds, consistent with the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures amid ongoing regional warming trends. Nearby model guidance and extended outlooks cluster between 28–29°C overnight lows, driven by high humidity (often 50–90%), limited cloud cover or rainfall to enhance radiative cooling, and typical summer urban heat retention. With leading market-implied probabilities split closely between 28°C and 29°C, traders are pricing in residual uncertainty from potential forecast revisions in the final model runs or localized variations at the official measuring site before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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