Recent short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus point to overnight minimum temperatures of 26–28 °C on August 7 under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with limited radiative cooling from cloud cover and showers expected. This aligns with climatological baselines showing average August lows near 26 °C and supports the market’s heaviest positioning on 27 °C. Seasonal outlooks indicating normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October further reduce the likelihood of cooler anomalies, while the absence of strong monsoon surges or tropical systems in the latest model runs keeps downside risks low. Updated HKO bulletins and refined model runs issued over the next 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
27°C 47%
28°C 27%
26°C 21%
25°C 6%
NOWE
$16,063 Wol.
NOWE
$16,063 Wol.
Aug 7, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
6%
26°C
21%
27°C
47%
28°C
27%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 47%
28°C 27%
26°C 21%
25°C 6%
NOWE
$16,063 Wol.
NOWE
$16,063 Wol.
Aug 7, 2026
21°C or below
$501 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$561 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$521 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$1,221 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$1,436 Wol.
6%
26°C
$3,145 Wol.
21%
27°C
$2,452 Wol.
47%
28°C
$2,663 Wol.
27%
29°C
$1,728 Wol.
3%
30°C
$1,095 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$737 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus point to overnight minimum temperatures of 26–28 °C on August 7 under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with limited radiative cooling from cloud cover and showers expected. This aligns with climatological baselines showing average August lows near 26 °C and supports the market’s heaviest positioning on 27 °C. Seasonal outlooks indicating normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October further reduce the likelihood of cooler anomalies, while the absence of strong monsoon surges or tropical systems in the latest model runs keeps downside risks low. Updated HKO bulletins and refined model runs issued over the next 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$16,063Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus point to overnight minimum temperatures of 26–28 °C on August 7 under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with limited radiative cooling from cloud cover and showers expected. This aligns with climatological baselines showing average August lows near 26 °C and supports the market’s heaviest positioning on 27 °C. Seasonal outlooks indicating normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October further reduce the likelihood of cooler anomalies, while the absence of strong monsoon surges or tropical systems in the latest model runs keeps downside risks low. Updated HKO bulletins and refined model runs issued over the next 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$16,063Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus point to overnight minimum temperatures of 26–28 °C on August 7 under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with limited radiative cooling from cloud cover and showers expected. This aligns with climatological baselines showing average August lows near 26 °C and supports the market’s heaviest positioning on 27 °C. Seasonal outlooks indicating normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October further reduce the likelihood of cooler anomalies, while the absence of strong monsoon surges or tropical systems in the latest model runs keeps downside risks low. Updated HKO bulletins and refined model runs issued over the next 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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