Current forecast models from regional meteorological services point to a daily maximum near 33°C in Shenzhen on August 6, supported by typical August climatology of 32–33°C highs under southerly monsoon flow and high humidity. Trader consensus tilts toward 34°C (39% implied probability) over 33°C (26.5%), reflecting minor model spread on peak timing, urban heat island amplification, and slight warming potential ahead of any frontal passage. Recent observations from August 3–5, with peaks of 31–33°C, reinforce this range without signals of extreme deviation. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration remains the key near-term catalyst for shifts in these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 6?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 6?
34°C 39%
33°C 27%
32°C 14%
35°C 9.2%
NOWE
$47,888 Wol.
NOWE
$47,888 Wol.
Aug 6, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
14%
33°C
27%
34°C
39%
35°C
9%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 39%
33°C 27%
32°C 14%
35°C 9.2%
NOWE
$47,888 Wol.
NOWE
$47,888 Wol.
Aug 6, 2026
28°C or below
$1,435 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$2,063 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$2,331 Wol.
1%
31°C
$6,037 Wol.
3%
32°C
$1,985 Wol.
14%
33°C
$9,155 Wol.
27%
34°C
$4,406 Wol.
39%
35°C
$9,723 Wol.
9%
36°C
$5,364 Wol.
3%
37°C
$1,973 Wol.
1%
38°C or higher
$3,417 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional meteorological services point to a daily maximum near 33°C in Shenzhen on August 6, supported by typical August climatology of 32–33°C highs under southerly monsoon flow and high humidity. Trader consensus tilts toward 34°C (39% implied probability) over 33°C (26.5%), reflecting minor model spread on peak timing, urban heat island amplification, and slight warming potential ahead of any frontal passage. Recent observations from August 3–5, with peaks of 31–33°C, reinforce this range without signals of extreme deviation. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration remains the key near-term catalyst for shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$47,888Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional meteorological services point to a daily maximum near 33°C in Shenzhen on August 6, supported by typical August climatology of 32–33°C highs under southerly monsoon flow and high humidity. Trader consensus tilts toward 34°C (39% implied probability) over 33°C (26.5%), reflecting minor model spread on peak timing, urban heat island amplification, and slight warming potential ahead of any frontal passage. Recent observations from August 3–5, with peaks of 31–33°C, reinforce this range without signals of extreme deviation. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration remains the key near-term catalyst for shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$47,888Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from regional meteorological services point to a daily maximum near 33°C in Shenzhen on August 6, supported by typical August climatology of 32–33°C highs under southerly monsoon flow and high humidity. Trader consensus tilts toward 34°C (39% implied probability) over 33°C (26.5%), reflecting minor model spread on peak timing, urban heat island amplification, and slight warming potential ahead of any frontal passage. Recent observations from August 3–5, with peaks of 31–33°C, reinforce this range without signals of extreme deviation. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration remains the key near-term catalyst for shifts in these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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