Recent monsoon activity across northern India has produced widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Lucknow, suppressing daytime heating and anchoring maximum temperatures near 31–32 °C in the latest India Meteorological Department and global model guidance. These conditions align with August climatology, when average highs hover around 31–32 °C amid high humidity and frequent precipitation. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 33 °C because any temporary reduction in rainfall or brief clearing could allow an extra degree of insolation before the next disturbance arrives. Conversely, sustained overcast skies or heavier showers on the 7th would favor 32 °C or lower. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the Lucknow observatory between 0830 IST on the 7th and 0830 IST on the 8th; updated IMD forecasts and satellite-derived rainfall estimates in the next 48 hours will likely drive the final shifts in market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 7?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 7?
33°C 35%
32°C 28%
34°C 22%
31°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
14%
32°C
28%
33°C
35%
34°C
22%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
2%
33°C 35%
32°C 28%
34°C 22%
31°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
26°C or below
$32 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$17 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$5 Wol.
1%
29°C
$10 Wol.
2%
30°C
$20 Wol.
3%
31°C
$6 Wol.
14%
32°C
$16 Wol.
28%
33°C
$32 Wol.
35%
34°C
$28 Wol.
22%
35°C
$5 Wol.
4%
36°C or higher
$16 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity across northern India has produced widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Lucknow, suppressing daytime heating and anchoring maximum temperatures near 31–32 °C in the latest India Meteorological Department and global model guidance. These conditions align with August climatology, when average highs hover around 31–32 °C amid high humidity and frequent precipitation. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 33 °C because any temporary reduction in rainfall or brief clearing could allow an extra degree of insolation before the next disturbance arrives. Conversely, sustained overcast skies or heavier showers on the 7th would favor 32 °C or lower. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the Lucknow observatory between 0830 IST on the 7th and 0830 IST on the 8th; updated IMD forecasts and satellite-derived rainfall estimates in the next 48 hours will likely drive the final shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$187Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity across northern India has produced widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Lucknow, suppressing daytime heating and anchoring maximum temperatures near 31–32 °C in the latest India Meteorological Department and global model guidance. These conditions align with August climatology, when average highs hover around 31–32 °C amid high humidity and frequent precipitation. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 33 °C because any temporary reduction in rainfall or brief clearing could allow an extra degree of insolation before the next disturbance arrives. Conversely, sustained overcast skies or heavier showers on the 7th would favor 32 °C or lower. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the Lucknow observatory between 0830 IST on the 7th and 0830 IST on the 8th; updated IMD forecasts and satellite-derived rainfall estimates in the next 48 hours will likely drive the final shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$187Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity across northern India has produced widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Lucknow, suppressing daytime heating and anchoring maximum temperatures near 31–32 °C in the latest India Meteorological Department and global model guidance. These conditions align with August climatology, when average highs hover around 31–32 °C amid high humidity and frequent precipitation. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 33 °C because any temporary reduction in rainfall or brief clearing could allow an extra degree of insolation before the next disturbance arrives. Conversely, sustained overcast skies or heavier showers on the 7th would favor 32 °C or lower. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the Lucknow observatory between 0830 IST on the 7th and 0830 IST on the 8th; updated IMD forecasts and satellite-derived rainfall estimates in the next 48 hours will likely drive the final shifts in market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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