Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 5 indicate a peak of 25–26°C under sunny intervals and stable high pressure, aligning with the market's leading 25°C (50.5%) and 26°C (30.5%) outcomes. Ensemble model spreads remain narrow around 23–26°C, reflecting early-August climatology with mean highs near 22–23°C offset by modest positive anomalies from lingering anticyclonic conditions. This follows hotter peaks earlier in the week amid the UK's 2026 heatwave sequence, with today's slight cooling driven by moderating southwesterly flow. Traders appear to weight official guidance and tight forecast consensus heavily, leaving limited room for 24°C or 27°C+ deviations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on August 5?
Highest temperature in London on August 5?
25°C 51%
26°C 31%
24°C 19%
23°C 3%
$71,329 Wol.
$71,329 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
19%
25°C
51%
26°C
31%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 51%
26°C 31%
24°C 19%
23°C 3%
$71,329 Wol.
$71,329 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
20°C or below
$537 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$2,180 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$5,281 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$8,956 Wol.
3%
24°C
$7,734 Wol.
19%
25°C
$10,626 Wol.
51%
26°C
$7,825 Wol.
31%
27°C
$8,629 Wol.
1%
28°C
$4,429 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$2,444 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$13,194 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 5 indicate a peak of 25–26°C under sunny intervals and stable high pressure, aligning with the market's leading 25°C (50.5%) and 26°C (30.5%) outcomes. Ensemble model spreads remain narrow around 23–26°C, reflecting early-August climatology with mean highs near 22–23°C offset by modest positive anomalies from lingering anticyclonic conditions. This follows hotter peaks earlier in the week amid the UK's 2026 heatwave sequence, with today's slight cooling driven by moderating southwesterly flow. Traders appear to weight official guidance and tight forecast consensus heavily, leaving limited room for 24°C or 27°C+ deviations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$71,329Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 5 indicate a peak of 25–26°C under sunny intervals and stable high pressure, aligning with the market's leading 25°C (50.5%) and 26°C (30.5%) outcomes. Ensemble model spreads remain narrow around 23–26°C, reflecting early-August climatology with mean highs near 22–23°C offset by modest positive anomalies from lingering anticyclonic conditions. This follows hotter peaks earlier in the week amid the UK's 2026 heatwave sequence, with today's slight cooling driven by moderating southwesterly flow. Traders appear to weight official guidance and tight forecast consensus heavily, leaving limited room for 24°C or 27°C+ deviations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$71,329Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 5 indicate a peak of 25–26°C under sunny intervals and stable high pressure, aligning with the market's leading 25°C (50.5%) and 26°C (30.5%) outcomes. Ensemble model spreads remain narrow around 23–26°C, reflecting early-August climatology with mean highs near 22–23°C offset by modest positive anomalies from lingering anticyclonic conditions. This follows hotter peaks earlier in the week amid the UK's 2026 heatwave sequence, with today's slight cooling driven by moderating southwesterly flow. Traders appear to weight official guidance and tight forecast consensus heavily, leaving limited room for 24°C or 27°C+ deviations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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