Recent Met Office guidance pegging London's August 7 maximum near 25 °C under cooler, more average early-August conditions has anchored trader consensus around the 25–26 °C outcomes. Following several days of 29 °C warmth driven by high pressure and southerly flow, a shift toward Atlantic air and increased cloud cover is expected to limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads and local urban-heat-island effects introduce modest upside risk to 27 °C or downside to 24 °C, which the closely matched market-implied odds reflect. Updated model runs and the Met Office's next forecast briefing will likely refine resolution probabilities as the date nears.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on August 7?
Highest temperature in London on August 7?
26°C 31%
25°C 24%
27°C 19%
23°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
5%
23°C
9%
24°C
15%
25°C
24%
26°C
31%
27°C
19%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 31%
25°C 24%
27°C 19%
23°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
$146 Wol.
5%
23°C
$5 Wol.
9%
24°C
$14 Wol.
15%
25°C
$89 Wol.
24%
26°C
$105 Wol.
31%
27°C
$110 Wol.
19%
28°C
$24 Wol.
3%
29°C
$22 Wol.
4%
30°C
$0 Wol.
2%
31°C
$10 Wol.
1%
32°C or higher
$10 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance pegging London's August 7 maximum near 25 °C under cooler, more average early-August conditions has anchored trader consensus around the 25–26 °C outcomes. Following several days of 29 °C warmth driven by high pressure and southerly flow, a shift toward Atlantic air and increased cloud cover is expected to limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads and local urban-heat-island effects introduce modest upside risk to 27 °C or downside to 24 °C, which the closely matched market-implied odds reflect. Updated model runs and the Met Office's next forecast briefing will likely refine resolution probabilities as the date nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$535Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance pegging London's August 7 maximum near 25 °C under cooler, more average early-August conditions has anchored trader consensus around the 25–26 °C outcomes. Following several days of 29 °C warmth driven by high pressure and southerly flow, a shift toward Atlantic air and increased cloud cover is expected to limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads and local urban-heat-island effects introduce modest upside risk to 27 °C or downside to 24 °C, which the closely matched market-implied odds reflect. Updated model runs and the Met Office's next forecast briefing will likely refine resolution probabilities as the date nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$535Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance pegging London's August 7 maximum near 25 °C under cooler, more average early-August conditions has anchored trader consensus around the 25–26 °C outcomes. Following several days of 29 °C warmth driven by high pressure and southerly flow, a shift toward Atlantic air and increased cloud cover is expected to limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads and local urban-heat-island effects introduce modest upside risk to 27 °C or downside to 24 °C, which the closely matched market-implied odds reflect. Updated model runs and the Met Office's next forecast briefing will likely refine resolution probabilities as the date nears.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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