Official observations from Environment Canada stations, including Toronto Pearson, recorded a daily maximum of 28°C on August 4, aligning with model consensus and seasonal climatology for early August in southern Ontario. This outcome reflects typical mid-summer conditions under moderate high-pressure influence, with limited heat advection and no significant warm fronts, keeping temperatures near long-term averages around 24–26°C. The market's 100% consensus on 28°C stems from these verified readings and tight forecast agreement in the 24–48 hours prior. Realistic challenges remain minimal but could include post-event data revisions from quality control or differences across microclimate stations, though such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for this resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Toronto on August 4?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 4?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$44,699 Wol.
$44,699 Wol.
Aug 4, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$44,699 Wol.
$44,699 Wol.
Aug 4, 2026
21°C or below
$292 Wol.
No
22°C
$847 Wol.
No
23°C
$1,093 Wol.
No
24°C
$1,167 Wol.
No
25°C
$2,874 Wol.
No
26°C
$5,596 Wol.
No
27°C
$10,443 Wol.
No
28°C
$11,202 Wol.
Yes
29°C
$6,439 Wol.
No
30°C
$2,806 Wol.
No
31°C or higher
$1,939 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Environment Canada stations, including Toronto Pearson, recorded a daily maximum of 28°C on August 4, aligning with model consensus and seasonal climatology for early August in southern Ontario. This outcome reflects typical mid-summer conditions under moderate high-pressure influence, with limited heat advection and no significant warm fronts, keeping temperatures near long-term averages around 24–26°C. The market's 100% consensus on 28°C stems from these verified readings and tight forecast agreement in the 24–48 hours prior. Realistic challenges remain minimal but could include post-event data revisions from quality control or differences across microclimate stations, though such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for this resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$44,699Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Environment Canada stations, including Toronto Pearson, recorded a daily maximum of 28°C on August 4, aligning with model consensus and seasonal climatology for early August in southern Ontario. This outcome reflects typical mid-summer conditions under moderate high-pressure influence, with limited heat advection and no significant warm fronts, keeping temperatures near long-term averages around 24–26°C. The market's 100% consensus on 28°C stems from these verified readings and tight forecast agreement in the 24–48 hours prior. Realistic challenges remain minimal but could include post-event data revisions from quality control or differences across microclimate stations, though such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for this resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$44,699Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from Environment Canada stations, including Toronto Pearson, recorded a daily maximum of 28°C on August 4, aligning with model consensus and seasonal climatology for early August in southern Ontario. This outcome reflects typical mid-summer conditions under moderate high-pressure influence, with limited heat advection and no significant warm fronts, keeping temperatures near long-term averages around 24–26°C. The market's 100% consensus on 28°C stems from these verified readings and tight forecast agreement in the 24–48 hours prior. Realistic challenges remain minimal but could include post-event data revisions from quality control or differences across microclimate stations, though such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C for this resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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