Latest numerical weather models and real-time observations show Beijing under partly cloudy to sunny conditions with afternoon highs likely peaking near 36–37°C on August 5, driven by typical midsummer subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. Recent days have featured similar warmth with isolated thunderstorms that can cap daytime maxima through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, creating the narrow spread between the two leading market outcomes. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and national forecasts clusters in this range, though localized variations in humidity, wind, and any late-day convection introduce realistic uncertainty that could shift the recorded high by 1°C in either direction before evening. Traders weigh these atmospheric details against historical August baselines near 32–34°C when assessing resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on August 5?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 5?
37°C 42%
36°C 39%
38°C 18%
35°C 3%
$27,654 Wol.
$27,654 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
3%
36°C
39%
37°C
42%
38°C
18%
39°C or higher
1%
37°C 42%
36°C 39%
38°C 18%
35°C 3%
$27,654 Wol.
$27,654 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
29°C or below
$308 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$1,024 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$1,381 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$2,340 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$4,313 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$4,106 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$3,994 Wol.
3%
36°C
$2,861 Wol.
39%
37°C
$2,859 Wol.
42%
38°C
$3,026 Wol.
18%
39°C or higher
$1,826 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models and real-time observations show Beijing under partly cloudy to sunny conditions with afternoon highs likely peaking near 36–37°C on August 5, driven by typical midsummer subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. Recent days have featured similar warmth with isolated thunderstorms that can cap daytime maxima through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, creating the narrow spread between the two leading market outcomes. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and national forecasts clusters in this range, though localized variations in humidity, wind, and any late-day convection introduce realistic uncertainty that could shift the recorded high by 1°C in either direction before evening. Traders weigh these atmospheric details against historical August baselines near 32–34°C when assessing resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$27,654Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models and real-time observations show Beijing under partly cloudy to sunny conditions with afternoon highs likely peaking near 36–37°C on August 5, driven by typical midsummer subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. Recent days have featured similar warmth with isolated thunderstorms that can cap daytime maxima through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, creating the narrow spread between the two leading market outcomes. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and national forecasts clusters in this range, though localized variations in humidity, wind, and any late-day convection introduce realistic uncertainty that could shift the recorded high by 1°C in either direction before evening. Traders weigh these atmospheric details against historical August baselines near 32–34°C when assessing resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$27,654Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather models and real-time observations show Beijing under partly cloudy to sunny conditions with afternoon highs likely peaking near 36–37°C on August 5, driven by typical midsummer subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. Recent days have featured similar warmth with isolated thunderstorms that can cap daytime maxima through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, creating the narrow spread between the two leading market outcomes. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and national forecasts clusters in this range, though localized variations in humidity, wind, and any late-day convection introduce realistic uncertainty that could shift the recorded high by 1°C in either direction before evening. Traders weigh these atmospheric details against historical August baselines near 32–34°C when assessing resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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