Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models show peak afternoon temperatures in Beijing on August 6 most likely reaching 36–38°C, with southerly advection of warm, humid air masses and limited cloud cover supporting strong surface heating under the urban heat island effect. Trader consensus clusters on 37°C and 38°C because model spreads differ mainly in the precise timing of any convective development or wind shifts that could cap the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical August baselines near 31°C underscore the current anomalous warmth, while resolution hinges on official station readings that incorporate standard shelter measurements at 2 meters.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on August 6?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 6?
37°C 37%
38°C 33%
36°C 12%
39°C 11%
NOWE
$22,495 Wol.
NOWE
$22,495 Wol.
Aug 6, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
12%
37°C
37%
38°C
33%
39°C
11%
40°C or higher
1%
37°C 37%
38°C 33%
36°C 12%
39°C 11%
NOWE
$22,495 Wol.
NOWE
$22,495 Wol.
Aug 6, 2026
30°C or below
$343 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$323 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$643 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$2,411 Wol.
1%
34°C
$1,693 Wol.
1%
35°C
$1,148 Wol.
3%
36°C
$6,950 Wol.
12%
37°C
$4,097 Wol.
37%
38°C
$2,097 Wol.
33%
39°C
$1,400 Wol.
11%
40°C or higher
$1,391 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models show peak afternoon temperatures in Beijing on August 6 most likely reaching 36–38°C, with southerly advection of warm, humid air masses and limited cloud cover supporting strong surface heating under the urban heat island effect. Trader consensus clusters on 37°C and 38°C because model spreads differ mainly in the precise timing of any convective development or wind shifts that could cap the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical August baselines near 31°C underscore the current anomalous warmth, while resolution hinges on official station readings that incorporate standard shelter measurements at 2 meters.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$22,495Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models show peak afternoon temperatures in Beijing on August 6 most likely reaching 36–38°C, with southerly advection of warm, humid air masses and limited cloud cover supporting strong surface heating under the urban heat island effect. Trader consensus clusters on 37°C and 38°C because model spreads differ mainly in the precise timing of any convective development or wind shifts that could cap the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical August baselines near 31°C underscore the current anomalous warmth, while resolution hinges on official station readings that incorporate standard shelter measurements at 2 meters.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$22,495Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models show peak afternoon temperatures in Beijing on August 6 most likely reaching 36–38°C, with southerly advection of warm, humid air masses and limited cloud cover supporting strong surface heating under the urban heat island effect. Trader consensus clusters on 37°C and 38°C because model spreads differ mainly in the precise timing of any convective development or wind shifts that could cap the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical August baselines near 31°C underscore the current anomalous warmth, while resolution hinges on official station readings that incorporate standard shelter measurements at 2 meters.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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