Recent ensemble forecasts from global models and the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a Shanghai high of 33–34°C on August 5, 2026, as the dominant driver behind the market's 76% implied probability for 33°C and 20% for 34°C. Persistent subtropical high pressure combined with weak southerly flow under typical midsummer conditions has moderated temperatures after early August peaks near 36–37°C. These outcomes align with official guidance distinguishing confirmed model consensus from inherent forecast uncertainty ranges, while the low odds on 35°C or higher reflect limited potential for intensification or clearing skies. Traders are monitoring any updated model runs or observational adjustments from monitoring agencies that could shift probabilities before daily resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 5?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 5?
33°C 69%
34°C 18%
35°C 4%
36°C <1%
$95,258 Wol.
$95,258 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
69%
34°C
18%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 69%
34°C 18%
35°C 4%
36°C <1%
$95,258 Wol.
$95,258 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
28°C or below
$259 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$1,088 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$5,930 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$13,816 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$21,001 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$18,298 Wol.
69%
34°C
$10,641 Wol.
18%
35°C
$13,482 Wol.
4%
36°C
$7,477 Wol.
1%
37°C
$2,325 Wol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$939 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models and the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a Shanghai high of 33–34°C on August 5, 2026, as the dominant driver behind the market's 76% implied probability for 33°C and 20% for 34°C. Persistent subtropical high pressure combined with weak southerly flow under typical midsummer conditions has moderated temperatures after early August peaks near 36–37°C. These outcomes align with official guidance distinguishing confirmed model consensus from inherent forecast uncertainty ranges, while the low odds on 35°C or higher reflect limited potential for intensification or clearing skies. Traders are monitoring any updated model runs or observational adjustments from monitoring agencies that could shift probabilities before daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$95,258Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models and the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a Shanghai high of 33–34°C on August 5, 2026, as the dominant driver behind the market's 76% implied probability for 33°C and 20% for 34°C. Persistent subtropical high pressure combined with weak southerly flow under typical midsummer conditions has moderated temperatures after early August peaks near 36–37°C. These outcomes align with official guidance distinguishing confirmed model consensus from inherent forecast uncertainty ranges, while the low odds on 35°C or higher reflect limited potential for intensification or clearing skies. Traders are monitoring any updated model runs or observational adjustments from monitoring agencies that could shift probabilities before daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$95,258Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models and the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a Shanghai high of 33–34°C on August 5, 2026, as the dominant driver behind the market's 76% implied probability for 33°C and 20% for 34°C. Persistent subtropical high pressure combined with weak southerly flow under typical midsummer conditions has moderated temperatures after early August peaks near 36–37°C. These outcomes align with official guidance distinguishing confirmed model consensus from inherent forecast uncertainty ranges, while the low odds on 35°C or higher reflect limited potential for intensification or clearing skies. Traders are monitoring any updated model runs or observational adjustments from monitoring agencies that could shift probabilities before daily resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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