Latest ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS drive the tight clustering around 33–34°C implied probabilities, reflecting warm air advection under a stable high-pressure ridge with limited cloud cover expected over the Po Valley. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, local urban heat effects, and minor convective development could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, explaining why 35°C and 32°C hold secondary but non-negligible odds. Historical August climatology for Milan shows typical highs near 28–30°C, so current conditions represent above-average warmth without extreme heatwave signals. Updated model runs and observational adjustments from regional networks will refine resolution criteria ahead of the August 7 measurement window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Milan on August 7?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 7?
34°C 42%
33°C 37%
35°C 12%
32°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
30°C or below
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
9%
33°C
37%
34°C
42%
35°C
12%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
1%
34°C 42%
33°C 37%
35°C 12%
32°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
30°C or below
$5 Wol.
2%
31°C
$17 Wol.
2%
32°C
$26 Wol.
9%
33°C
$113 Wol.
37%
34°C
$101 Wol.
42%
35°C
$62 Wol.
12%
36°C
$16 Wol.
2%
37°C
$22 Wol.
2%
38°C
$27 Wol.
1%
39°C
$25 Wol.
1%
40°C or higher
$20 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS drive the tight clustering around 33–34°C implied probabilities, reflecting warm air advection under a stable high-pressure ridge with limited cloud cover expected over the Po Valley. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, local urban heat effects, and minor convective development could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, explaining why 35°C and 32°C hold secondary but non-negligible odds. Historical August climatology for Milan shows typical highs near 28–30°C, so current conditions represent above-average warmth without extreme heatwave signals. Updated model runs and observational adjustments from regional networks will refine resolution criteria ahead of the August 7 measurement window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$430Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS drive the tight clustering around 33–34°C implied probabilities, reflecting warm air advection under a stable high-pressure ridge with limited cloud cover expected over the Po Valley. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, local urban heat effects, and minor convective development could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, explaining why 35°C and 32°C hold secondary but non-negligible odds. Historical August climatology for Milan shows typical highs near 28–30°C, so current conditions represent above-average warmth without extreme heatwave signals. Updated model runs and observational adjustments from regional networks will refine resolution criteria ahead of the August 7 measurement window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$430Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS drive the tight clustering around 33–34°C implied probabilities, reflecting warm air advection under a stable high-pressure ridge with limited cloud cover expected over the Po Valley. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, local urban heat effects, and minor convective development could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, explaining why 35°C and 32°C hold secondary but non-negligible odds. Historical August climatology for Milan shows typical highs near 28–30°C, so current conditions represent above-average warmth without extreme heatwave signals. Updated model runs and observational adjustments from regional networks will refine resolution criteria ahead of the August 7 measurement window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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