Seasonal peak-summer conditions in Chengdu's humid subtropical climate, with the Sichuan Basin retaining heat under high pressure and weak winds, underpin trader consensus favoring a daily maximum of 35 °C or higher. Official forecasts from regional meteorological services show expected highs of 33–34 °C (roughly 91–93 °F) under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers, values that sit near the upper end of August climatology (average highs 30–32 °C). Recent model runs have not introduced notable cooling trends, while historical analogs indicate occasional exceedances of 35 °C early in the month when humidity sustains elevated heat indices. Upcoming evening observations and any revised forecast guidance remain the key variables that could shift the 72.5 % implied probability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 5?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 5?
35°C or higher 67%
34°C 27%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$51,408 Wol.
$51,408 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
32%
35°C or higher
67%
35°C or higher 67%
34°C 27%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$51,408 Wol.
$51,408 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
25°C or below
$409 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$323 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$323 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$1,851 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$2,679 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$2,366 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$3,485 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$4,056 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$19,291 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$5,268 Wol.
32%
35°C or higher
$11,680 Wol.
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seasonal peak-summer conditions in Chengdu's humid subtropical climate, with the Sichuan Basin retaining heat under high pressure and weak winds, underpin trader consensus favoring a daily maximum of 35 °C or higher. Official forecasts from regional meteorological services show expected highs of 33–34 °C (roughly 91–93 °F) under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers, values that sit near the upper end of August climatology (average highs 30–32 °C). Recent model runs have not introduced notable cooling trends, while historical analogs indicate occasional exceedances of 35 °C early in the month when humidity sustains elevated heat indices. Upcoming evening observations and any revised forecast guidance remain the key variables that could shift the 72.5 % implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$51,408Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seasonal peak-summer conditions in Chengdu's humid subtropical climate, with the Sichuan Basin retaining heat under high pressure and weak winds, underpin trader consensus favoring a daily maximum of 35 °C or higher. Official forecasts from regional meteorological services show expected highs of 33–34 °C (roughly 91–93 °F) under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers, values that sit near the upper end of August climatology (average highs 30–32 °C). Recent model runs have not introduced notable cooling trends, while historical analogs indicate occasional exceedances of 35 °C early in the month when humidity sustains elevated heat indices. Upcoming evening observations and any revised forecast guidance remain the key variables that could shift the 72.5 % implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$51,408Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Seasonal peak-summer conditions in Chengdu's humid subtropical climate, with the Sichuan Basin retaining heat under high pressure and weak winds, underpin trader consensus favoring a daily maximum of 35 °C or higher. Official forecasts from regional meteorological services show expected highs of 33–34 °C (roughly 91–93 °F) under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers, values that sit near the upper end of August climatology (average highs 30–32 °C). Recent model runs have not introduced notable cooling trends, while historical analogs indicate occasional exceedances of 35 °C early in the month when humidity sustains elevated heat indices. Upcoming evening observations and any revised forecast guidance remain the key variables that could shift the 72.5 % implied probability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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