Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project sunny periods with isolated showers and light winds on August 5, 2026, yielding a daytime range of 27–33°C and positioning 32–33°C as the most probable maxima under a warm, humid maritime air mass typical of peak summer. Traders assign the highest weight to 32°C (53% implied probability), reflecting model consensus on partial cloud cover or brief showers limiting afternoon heating below the upper forecast bound, while 33°C holds 14% amid recent above-normal seasonal signals. Historical August climatology, with average highs near 31°C, reinforces this tight clustering around the observed forecast guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 5?
32°C 50%
33°C 31%
31°C 9%
34°C 3.4%
$188,977 Wol.
$188,977 Wol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
9%
32°C
50%
33°C
34%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 50%
33°C 31%
31°C 9%
34°C 3.4%
$188,977 Wol.
$188,977 Wol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
9%
32°C
50%
33°C
34%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project sunny periods with isolated showers and light winds on August 5, 2026, yielding a daytime range of 27–33°C and positioning 32–33°C as the most probable maxima under a warm, humid maritime air mass typical of peak summer. Traders assign the highest weight to 32°C (53% implied probability), reflecting model consensus on partial cloud cover or brief showers limiting afternoon heating below the upper forecast bound, while 33°C holds 14% amid recent above-normal seasonal signals. Historical August climatology, with average highs near 31°C, reinforces this tight clustering around the observed forecast guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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