**Trader consensus on a 34°C peak at the Incheon station for August 5 rests on Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts projecting a daytime maximum near that threshold under persistent clear skies and light easterly winds.** Ongoing heatwave warnings across the Seoul-Incheon area, driven by a strong subtropical high, support this outcome, with recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variation from the prior day's confirmed 34°C reading. Historical August climatology for the region places typical highs around 31–33°C, making the current setup align closely with observed conditions. The market-implied 98% probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of these stable atmospheric factors. A realistic challenge would require rapid afternoon cloud development or a localized sea-breeze shift that caps temperatures below 34°C, though current guidance shows low precipitation probability through the peak heating window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 5?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 5?
34°C 98%
35°C 2%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$85,497 Wol.
$85,497 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
98%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
34°C 98%
35°C 2%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$85,497 Wol.
$85,497 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
$765 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$627 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$872 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$5,520 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$3,863 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$10,213 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$11,406 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$14,221 Wol.
98%
35°C
$16,275 Wol.
2%
36°C
$12,998 Wol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$8,738 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 34°C peak at the Incheon station for August 5 rests on Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts projecting a daytime maximum near that threshold under persistent clear skies and light easterly winds.** Ongoing heatwave warnings across the Seoul-Incheon area, driven by a strong subtropical high, support this outcome, with recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variation from the prior day's confirmed 34°C reading. Historical August climatology for the region places typical highs around 31–33°C, making the current setup align closely with observed conditions. The market-implied 98% probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of these stable atmospheric factors. A realistic challenge would require rapid afternoon cloud development or a localized sea-breeze shift that caps temperatures below 34°C, though current guidance shows low precipitation probability through the peak heating window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$85,497Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 34°C peak at the Incheon station for August 5 rests on Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts projecting a daytime maximum near that threshold under persistent clear skies and light easterly winds.** Ongoing heatwave warnings across the Seoul-Incheon area, driven by a strong subtropical high, support this outcome, with recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variation from the prior day's confirmed 34°C reading. Historical August climatology for the region places typical highs around 31–33°C, making the current setup align closely with observed conditions. The market-implied 98% probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of these stable atmospheric factors. A realistic challenge would require rapid afternoon cloud development or a localized sea-breeze shift that caps temperatures below 34°C, though current guidance shows low precipitation probability through the peak heating window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$85,497Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on a 34°C peak at the Incheon station for August 5 rests on Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts projecting a daytime maximum near that threshold under persistent clear skies and light easterly winds.** Ongoing heatwave warnings across the Seoul-Incheon area, driven by a strong subtropical high, support this outcome, with recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variation from the prior day's confirmed 34°C reading. Historical August climatology for the region places typical highs around 31–33°C, making the current setup align closely with observed conditions. The market-implied 98% probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of these stable atmospheric factors. A realistic challenge would require rapid afternoon cloud development or a localized sea-breeze shift that caps temperatures below 34°C, though current guidance shows low precipitation probability through the peak heating window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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