Persistent extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, including record daytime highs near 37°C in the Seoul-Incheon area and the Korea Meteorological Administration’s highest-level warnings, are driving the overwhelming 98.2% market-implied odds for a 28°C low. Strong subsidence, clear to partly cloudy skies, and elevated humidity are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling below typical early-August minima of 22–23°C, with model consensus pointing to an overnight low near 27–28°C at Incheon International Airport. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unexpected cloud cover could allow slightly greater cooling toward 26°C, though current atmospheric stability makes such a revision unlikely before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 5?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 5?
28°C 95.1%
27°C 1.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$13,401 Wol.
$13,401 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
95%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 95.1%
27°C 1.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$13,401 Wol.
$13,401 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
$663 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$885 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$839 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$732 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$1,286 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$1,392 Wol.
1%
28°C
$4,407 Wol.
95%
29°C
$1,838 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$431 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$425 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$503 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, including record daytime highs near 37°C in the Seoul-Incheon area and the Korea Meteorological Administration’s highest-level warnings, are driving the overwhelming 98.2% market-implied odds for a 28°C low. Strong subsidence, clear to partly cloudy skies, and elevated humidity are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling below typical early-August minima of 22–23°C, with model consensus pointing to an overnight low near 27–28°C at Incheon International Airport. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unexpected cloud cover could allow slightly greater cooling toward 26°C, though current atmospheric stability makes such a revision unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$13,401Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, including record daytime highs near 37°C in the Seoul-Incheon area and the Korea Meteorological Administration’s highest-level warnings, are driving the overwhelming 98.2% market-implied odds for a 28°C low. Strong subsidence, clear to partly cloudy skies, and elevated humidity are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling below typical early-August minima of 22–23°C, with model consensus pointing to an overnight low near 27–28°C at Incheon International Airport. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unexpected cloud cover could allow slightly greater cooling toward 26°C, though current atmospheric stability makes such a revision unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$13,401Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, including record daytime highs near 37°C in the Seoul-Incheon area and the Korea Meteorological Administration’s highest-level warnings, are driving the overwhelming 98.2% market-implied odds for a 28°C low. Strong subsidence, clear to partly cloudy skies, and elevated humidity are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling below typical early-August minima of 22–23°C, with model consensus pointing to an overnight low near 27–28°C at Incheon International Airport. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unexpected cloud cover could allow slightly greater cooling toward 26°C, though current atmospheric stability makes such a revision unlikely before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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