Official Central Weather Administration observations and model guidance for August 5 place Taipei's daily maximum near 37 °C, consistent with recent early-August peaks of 36 °C and the climatological tendency for urban heat-island amplification under light winds and high humidity. This drives the overwhelming market-implied probability for the 37 °C outcome, as traders integrate real-time station data against historical August averages of 32–34 °C. Minor forecast revisions or station-specific microclimate differences could still shift the final recorded high by 1 °C, though such adjustments appear unlikely given the current consensus across monitoring agencies.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Taipei on August 5?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 5?
37°C 99.4%
38°C <1%
39°C or higher <1%
29°C or below <1%
$56,503 Wol.
$56,503 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
99%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
37°C 99.4%
38°C <1%
39°C or higher <1%
29°C or below <1%
$56,503 Wol.
$56,503 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
29°C or below
$868 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$462 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$2,157 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$2,630 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$3,586 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$4,115 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$8,463 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$10,574 Wol.
<1%
37°C
$6,964 Wol.
99%
38°C
$6,708 Wol.
1%
39°C or higher
$9,978 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Central Weather Administration observations and model guidance for August 5 place Taipei's daily maximum near 37 °C, consistent with recent early-August peaks of 36 °C and the climatological tendency for urban heat-island amplification under light winds and high humidity. This drives the overwhelming market-implied probability for the 37 °C outcome, as traders integrate real-time station data against historical August averages of 32–34 °C. Minor forecast revisions or station-specific microclimate differences could still shift the final recorded high by 1 °C, though such adjustments appear unlikely given the current consensus across monitoring agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$56,503Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Central Weather Administration observations and model guidance for August 5 place Taipei's daily maximum near 37 °C, consistent with recent early-August peaks of 36 °C and the climatological tendency for urban heat-island amplification under light winds and high humidity. This drives the overwhelming market-implied probability for the 37 °C outcome, as traders integrate real-time station data against historical August averages of 32–34 °C. Minor forecast revisions or station-specific microclimate differences could still shift the final recorded high by 1 °C, though such adjustments appear unlikely given the current consensus across monitoring agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$56,503Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Central Weather Administration observations and model guidance for August 5 place Taipei's daily maximum near 37 °C, consistent with recent early-August peaks of 36 °C and the climatological tendency for urban heat-island amplification under light winds and high humidity. This drives the overwhelming market-implied probability for the 37 °C outcome, as traders integrate real-time station data against historical August averages of 32–34 °C. Minor forecast revisions or station-specific microclimate differences could still shift the final recorded high by 1 °C, though such adjustments appear unlikely given the current consensus across monitoring agencies.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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