Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office converge on a peak of 37°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on August 5, 2026, under sunny skies with light easterly winds, consistent with the market's near-certain 37°C outcome. This aligns with regional high-temperature patterns persisting into early August, where afternoon maxima typically reach 35–39°C amid humid subtropical conditions, and model consensus has held steady without significant revisions in recent runs. Traders appear to view resolution criteria as effectively locked given the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance. A sudden increase in cloud cover, convective rainfall, or an unexpected shift in steering flow could still alter the recorded high by 1–2°C before evening observations finalize.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 5?
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$32,736 Wol.
$32,736 Wol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
100%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$32,736 Wol.
$32,736 Wol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
100%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office converge on a peak of 37°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on August 5, 2026, under sunny skies with light easterly winds, consistent with the market's near-certain 37°C outcome. This aligns with regional high-temperature patterns persisting into early August, where afternoon maxima typically reach 35–39°C amid humid subtropical conditions, and model consensus has held steady without significant revisions in recent runs. Traders appear to view resolution criteria as effectively locked given the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance. A sudden increase in cloud cover, convective rainfall, or an unexpected shift in steering flow could still alter the recorded high by 1–2°C before evening observations finalize.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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