Official forecasts from MetService and NIWA place Wellington's maximum temperature on August 5 near 9°C, supported by persistent southerly airflow, partial cloud cover, and limited insolation typical of peak Southern Hemisphere winter. This setup suppresses daytime heating well below the long-term August average high of approximately 12°C, with ensemble guidance showing tight clustering around that value amid stable synoptic conditions. Trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for 9°C reflects alignment with short-range model outputs and observed trends from the prior day. A sudden wind shift or unexpected clearing could allow a 1°C deviation, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on August 5?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 5?
9°C 99.7%
10°C <1%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
$175,915 Wol.
$175,915 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
3°C or below
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
100%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C or higher
<1%
9°C 99.7%
10°C <1%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
$175,915 Wol.
$175,915 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
3°C or below
$1,150 Wol.
<1%
4°C
$1,080 Wol.
<1%
5°C
$3,076 Wol.
<1%
6°C
$21,476 Wol.
<1%
7°C
$31,421 Wol.
<1%
8°C
$63,645 Wol.
<1%
9°C
$19,341 Wol.
100%
10°C
$15,841 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$11,549 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$4,041 Wol.
<1%
13°C or higher
$3,383 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and NIWA place Wellington's maximum temperature on August 5 near 9°C, supported by persistent southerly airflow, partial cloud cover, and limited insolation typical of peak Southern Hemisphere winter. This setup suppresses daytime heating well below the long-term August average high of approximately 12°C, with ensemble guidance showing tight clustering around that value amid stable synoptic conditions. Trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for 9°C reflects alignment with short-range model outputs and observed trends from the prior day. A sudden wind shift or unexpected clearing could allow a 1°C deviation, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$175,915Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and NIWA place Wellington's maximum temperature on August 5 near 9°C, supported by persistent southerly airflow, partial cloud cover, and limited insolation typical of peak Southern Hemisphere winter. This setup suppresses daytime heating well below the long-term August average high of approximately 12°C, with ensemble guidance showing tight clustering around that value amid stable synoptic conditions. Trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for 9°C reflects alignment with short-range model outputs and observed trends from the prior day. A sudden wind shift or unexpected clearing could allow a 1°C deviation, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$175,915Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from MetService and NIWA place Wellington's maximum temperature on August 5 near 9°C, supported by persistent southerly airflow, partial cloud cover, and limited insolation typical of peak Southern Hemisphere winter. This setup suppresses daytime heating well below the long-term August average high of approximately 12°C, with ensemble guidance showing tight clustering around that value amid stable synoptic conditions. Trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for 9°C reflects alignment with short-range model outputs and observed trends from the prior day. A sudden wind shift or unexpected clearing could allow a 1°C deviation, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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