Traders heavily favor the 34°C outcome for Chongqing’s August 5 maximum because official forecasts and regional model consensus point to a peak near that threshold under subtropical high pressure, light winds, and strong daytime insolation. Typical August climatology features highs of 32–35 °C in this mountainous, humid basin, with recent guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and local meteorological centers showing 34–35 °C as the most probable range amid partly cloudy skies and limited convective cooling. The secondary 33 °C probability reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any late-day showers or slight model spread, while lower odds for 35 °C or above account for the moderating influence of the city’s topography and current moisture levels that historically cap extremes short of major heatwave amplification. Updated short-range model runs and any late-morning surface observations remain the key near-term variables that could refine these market-implied probabilities before official daily records close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 5?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 5?
34°C 70%
35°C 22%
33°C 15%
36°C or higher 1.7%
$37,070 Wol.
$37,070 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
15%
34°C
70%
35°C
22%
36°C or higher
2%
34°C 70%
35°C 22%
33°C 15%
36°C or higher 1.7%
$37,070 Wol.
$37,070 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
26°C or below
$914 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$706 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$3,113 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$1,976 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$2,872 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$2,921 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$2,859 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$8,549 Wol.
15%
34°C
$6,214 Wol.
70%
35°C
$4,954 Wol.
22%
36°C or higher
$4,223 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders heavily favor the 34°C outcome for Chongqing’s August 5 maximum because official forecasts and regional model consensus point to a peak near that threshold under subtropical high pressure, light winds, and strong daytime insolation. Typical August climatology features highs of 32–35 °C in this mountainous, humid basin, with recent guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and local meteorological centers showing 34–35 °C as the most probable range amid partly cloudy skies and limited convective cooling. The secondary 33 °C probability reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any late-day showers or slight model spread, while lower odds for 35 °C or above account for the moderating influence of the city’s topography and current moisture levels that historically cap extremes short of major heatwave amplification. Updated short-range model runs and any late-morning surface observations remain the key near-term variables that could refine these market-implied probabilities before official daily records close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$37,070Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders heavily favor the 34°C outcome for Chongqing’s August 5 maximum because official forecasts and regional model consensus point to a peak near that threshold under subtropical high pressure, light winds, and strong daytime insolation. Typical August climatology features highs of 32–35 °C in this mountainous, humid basin, with recent guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and local meteorological centers showing 34–35 °C as the most probable range amid partly cloudy skies and limited convective cooling. The secondary 33 °C probability reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any late-day showers or slight model spread, while lower odds for 35 °C or above account for the moderating influence of the city’s topography and current moisture levels that historically cap extremes short of major heatwave amplification. Updated short-range model runs and any late-morning surface observations remain the key near-term variables that could refine these market-implied probabilities before official daily records close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$37,070Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders heavily favor the 34°C outcome for Chongqing’s August 5 maximum because official forecasts and regional model consensus point to a peak near that threshold under subtropical high pressure, light winds, and strong daytime insolation. Typical August climatology features highs of 32–35 °C in this mountainous, humid basin, with recent guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and local meteorological centers showing 34–35 °C as the most probable range amid partly cloudy skies and limited convective cooling. The secondary 33 °C probability reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any late-day showers or slight model spread, while lower odds for 35 °C or above account for the moderating influence of the city’s topography and current moisture levels that historically cap extremes short of major heatwave amplification. Updated short-range model runs and any late-morning surface observations remain the key near-term variables that could refine these market-implied probabilities before official daily records close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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