**Trader consensus around 18–19°C for Cape Town’s August 7 maximum reflects current model guidance showing mild winter conditions under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with limited influence from stronger cold fronts.** Typical August averages hover near 17°C, supported by the cool Benguela Current and prevailing westerlies, but recent ensemble runs suggest slightly warmer-than-average advection of maritime air. Light northerly winds and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers could allow brief daytime warming, while any timing shift in a frontal passage might cap highs at 17–18°C. SAWS and global models indicate low uncertainty this close to the event, though small revisions in steering flow or cloud cover could still nudge outcomes between the tightly clustered 18°C and 19°C bins favored by traders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 7?
19°C 38%
18°C 31%
20°C 19%
21°C 11%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
10%
18°C
31%
19°C
38%
20°C
19%
21°C
11%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
4%
19°C 38%
18°C 31%
20°C 19%
21°C 11%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
10%
18°C
31%
19°C
38%
20°C
19%
21°C
11%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus around 18–19°C for Cape Town’s August 7 maximum reflects current model guidance showing mild winter conditions under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with limited influence from stronger cold fronts.** Typical August averages hover near 17°C, supported by the cool Benguela Current and prevailing westerlies, but recent ensemble runs suggest slightly warmer-than-average advection of maritime air. Light northerly winds and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers could allow brief daytime warming, while any timing shift in a frontal passage might cap highs at 17–18°C. SAWS and global models indicate low uncertainty this close to the event, though small revisions in steering flow or cloud cover could still nudge outcomes between the tightly clustered 18°C and 19°C bins favored by traders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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