**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on August 5, 2026, reflecting current forecast models and typical midsummer conditions.** Official and private forecasts, including AccuWeather guidance, point to an overnight minimum near 28°C (83°F) under cloudy skies with light winds and high humidity, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover around 25–28°C. Persistent warm air advection from the subtropical high, combined with urban heat island effects and limited nocturnal cooling, keeps minimum temperatures elevated. Recent model runs show little day-to-day variability, supporting the narrow implied probability band around 27°C. A realistic shift toward 26°C or lower would require an unexpected surge of cooler maritime air, stronger onshore flow, or heavier overnight precipitation—developments not currently indicated in guidance. Updated observations from local stations or revised model outputs could still adjust the final recorded minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 5?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 5?
27°C 95%
26°C 3.6%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$32,566 Wol.
$32,566 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
95%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 95%
26°C 3.6%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$32,566 Wol.
$32,566 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
$1,016 Wol.
1%
23°C
$1,672 Wol.
1%
24°C
$3,142 Wol.
1%
25°C
$2,750 Wol.
1%
26°C
$1,865 Wol.
4%
27°C
$3,563 Wol.
95%
28°C
$3,577 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$9,246 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$2,871 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$512 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$2,353 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on August 5, 2026, reflecting current forecast models and typical midsummer conditions.** Official and private forecasts, including AccuWeather guidance, point to an overnight minimum near 28°C (83°F) under cloudy skies with light winds and high humidity, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover around 25–28°C. Persistent warm air advection from the subtropical high, combined with urban heat island effects and limited nocturnal cooling, keeps minimum temperatures elevated. Recent model runs show little day-to-day variability, supporting the narrow implied probability band around 27°C.
A realistic shift toward 26°C or lower would require an unexpected surge of cooler maritime air, stronger onshore flow, or heavier overnight precipitation—developments not currently indicated in guidance. Updated observations from local stations or revised model outputs could still adjust the final recorded minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$32,566Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on August 5, 2026, reflecting current forecast models and typical midsummer conditions.** Official and private forecasts, including AccuWeather guidance, point to an overnight minimum near 28°C (83°F) under cloudy skies with light winds and high humidity, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover around 25–28°C. Persistent warm air advection from the subtropical high, combined with urban heat island effects and limited nocturnal cooling, keeps minimum temperatures elevated. Recent model runs show little day-to-day variability, supporting the narrow implied probability band around 27°C.
A realistic shift toward 26°C or lower would require an unexpected surge of cooler maritime air, stronger onshore flow, or heavier overnight precipitation—developments not currently indicated in guidance. Updated observations from local stations or revised model outputs could still adjust the final recorded minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$32,566Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on August 5, 2026, reflecting current forecast models and typical midsummer conditions.** Official and private forecasts, including AccuWeather guidance, point to an overnight minimum near 28°C (83°F) under cloudy skies with light winds and high humidity, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover around 25–28°C. Persistent warm air advection from the subtropical high, combined with urban heat island effects and limited nocturnal cooling, keeps minimum temperatures elevated. Recent model runs show little day-to-day variability, supporting the narrow implied probability band around 27°C. A realistic shift toward 26°C or lower would require an unexpected surge of cooler maritime air, stronger onshore flow, or heavier overnight precipitation—developments not currently indicated in guidance. Updated observations from local stations or revised model outputs could still adjust the final recorded minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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