Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations in the New York City area, particularly Central Park, recorded a daily maximum of 84–85°F on August 4, aligning with the market’s near-certain consensus. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge with moderate humidity and light winds, consistent with climatological averages for early August in the region. Model runs from NOAA’s Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converged on this narrow range days in advance, with minimal ensemble spread. The only realistic challenges would involve rare post-hoc quality-control adjustments to the official record or an undetected microscale anomaly at the primary reporting site, both of which occur infrequently and would require documented evidence from the agency.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on August 4?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 4?
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$66,044 Wol.
$66,044 Wol.
Aug 4, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$66,044 Wol.
$66,044 Wol.
Aug 4, 2026
73°F or below
$488 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$513 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$841 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$7,869 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$13,659 Wol.
<1%
82-83°F
$13,509 Wol.
<1%
84-85°F
$12,504 Wol.
100%
86-87°F
$7,463 Wol.
<1%
88-89°F
$4,974 Wol.
<1%
90-91°F
$3,406 Wol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$819 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations in the New York City area, particularly Central Park, recorded a daily maximum of 84–85°F on August 4, aligning with the market’s near-certain consensus. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge with moderate humidity and light winds, consistent with climatological averages for early August in the region. Model runs from NOAA’s Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converged on this narrow range days in advance, with minimal ensemble spread. The only realistic challenges would involve rare post-hoc quality-control adjustments to the official record or an undetected microscale anomaly at the primary reporting site, both of which occur infrequently and would require documented evidence from the agency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$66,044Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations in the New York City area, particularly Central Park, recorded a daily maximum of 84–85°F on August 4, aligning with the market’s near-certain consensus. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge with moderate humidity and light winds, consistent with climatological averages for early August in the region. Model runs from NOAA’s Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converged on this narrow range days in advance, with minimal ensemble spread. The only realistic challenges would involve rare post-hoc quality-control adjustments to the official record or an undetected microscale anomaly at the primary reporting site, both of which occur infrequently and would require documented evidence from the agency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$66,044Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations in the New York City area, particularly Central Park, recorded a daily maximum of 84–85°F on August 4, aligning with the market’s near-certain consensus. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge with moderate humidity and light winds, consistent with climatological averages for early August in the region. Model runs from NOAA’s Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converged on this narrow range days in advance, with minimal ensemble spread. The only realistic challenges would involve rare post-hoc quality-control adjustments to the official record or an undetected microscale anomaly at the primary reporting site, both of which occur infrequently and would require documented evidence from the agency.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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