**Market-implied odds favor a daily maximum of 32–34°C in Karachi on August 6, 2026, with 33°C the clear leader.** This distribution reflects the consensus among forecasters and traders that monsoon-season conditions will keep temperatures near or modestly above the long-term August average of roughly 31–32°C. Key drivers include persistent cloud cover and humidity from the southwest monsoon, which limits daytime heating despite above-normal temperature outlooks issued by the Pakistan Meteorological Department for Sindh. Coastal sea breezes off the Arabian Sea provide additional moderation, while any scattered showers or thunderstorms—common in early August—further cap peak readings. Recent model guidance and extended-range forecasts consistently point to highs near 30–31°C, yet the slight upward bias in market pricing incorporates the possibility of clearer intervals or reduced rainfall that could allow readings to reach 33–34°C. Historical analogs and seasonal temperature anomalies (projected +0.6°C above the 1991–2020 baseline for the July–September period) support the narrow range around 33°C as the most probable outcome. With resolution occurring within hours, traders are weighting the latest observational trends and short-range model consensus heavily, leaving little room for extremes outside 31–34°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Karachi on August 6?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 6?
33°C 45%
32°C 31%
34°C 21%
31°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
31%
33°C
45%
34°C
21%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 45%
32°C 31%
34°C 21%
31°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
$184 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$99 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$76 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$264 Wol.
2%
31°C
$321 Wol.
5%
32°C
$2,053 Wol.
31%
33°C
$986 Wol.
45%
34°C
$337 Wol.
21%
35°C
$144 Wol.
3%
36°C
$122 Wol.
1%
37°C or higher
$83 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a daily maximum of 32–34°C in Karachi on August 6, 2026, with 33°C the clear leader.** This distribution reflects the consensus among forecasters and traders that monsoon-season conditions will keep temperatures near or modestly above the long-term August average of roughly 31–32°C.
Key drivers include persistent cloud cover and humidity from the southwest monsoon, which limits daytime heating despite above-normal temperature outlooks issued by the Pakistan Meteorological Department for Sindh. Coastal sea breezes off the Arabian Sea provide additional moderation, while any scattered showers or thunderstorms—common in early August—further cap peak readings. Recent model guidance and extended-range forecasts consistently point to highs near 30–31°C, yet the slight upward bias in market pricing incorporates the possibility of clearer intervals or reduced rainfall that could allow readings to reach 33–34°C.
Historical analogs and seasonal temperature anomalies (projected +0.6°C above the 1991–2020 baseline for the July–September period) support the narrow range around 33°C as the most probable outcome. With resolution occurring within hours, traders are weighting the latest observational trends and short-range model consensus heavily, leaving little room for extremes outside 31–34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,669Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a daily maximum of 32–34°C in Karachi on August 6, 2026, with 33°C the clear leader.** This distribution reflects the consensus among forecasters and traders that monsoon-season conditions will keep temperatures near or modestly above the long-term August average of roughly 31–32°C.
Key drivers include persistent cloud cover and humidity from the southwest monsoon, which limits daytime heating despite above-normal temperature outlooks issued by the Pakistan Meteorological Department for Sindh. Coastal sea breezes off the Arabian Sea provide additional moderation, while any scattered showers or thunderstorms—common in early August—further cap peak readings. Recent model guidance and extended-range forecasts consistently point to highs near 30–31°C, yet the slight upward bias in market pricing incorporates the possibility of clearer intervals or reduced rainfall that could allow readings to reach 33–34°C.
Historical analogs and seasonal temperature anomalies (projected +0.6°C above the 1991–2020 baseline for the July–September period) support the narrow range around 33°C as the most probable outcome. With resolution occurring within hours, traders are weighting the latest observational trends and short-range model consensus heavily, leaving little room for extremes outside 31–34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,669Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds favor a daily maximum of 32–34°C in Karachi on August 6, 2026, with 33°C the clear leader.** This distribution reflects the consensus among forecasters and traders that monsoon-season conditions will keep temperatures near or modestly above the long-term August average of roughly 31–32°C. Key drivers include persistent cloud cover and humidity from the southwest monsoon, which limits daytime heating despite above-normal temperature outlooks issued by the Pakistan Meteorological Department for Sindh. Coastal sea breezes off the Arabian Sea provide additional moderation, while any scattered showers or thunderstorms—common in early August—further cap peak readings. Recent model guidance and extended-range forecasts consistently point to highs near 30–31°C, yet the slight upward bias in market pricing incorporates the possibility of clearer intervals or reduced rainfall that could allow readings to reach 33–34°C. Historical analogs and seasonal temperature anomalies (projected +0.6°C above the 1991–2020 baseline for the July–September period) support the narrow range around 33°C as the most probable outcome. With resolution occurring within hours, traders are weighting the latest observational trends and short-range model consensus heavily, leaving little room for extremes outside 31–34°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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