Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs position 22–24°C as the most probable range for London’s August 6 maximum, with 23°C carrying the highest implied probability. A high-pressure ridge that produced 29°C on August 4 is shifting eastward, allowing cooler northwesterly flow and increased cloud cover to moderate temperatures. This transition aligns with climatological late-summer norms near 23°C while reducing the chance of renewed southerly advection that could push readings to 25°C or above. Updated short-range forecasts issued within the last 24 hours show limited spread across guidance, supporting trader consensus around the 23°C outcome ahead of final observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on August 6?
Highest temperature in London on August 6?
23°C 44%
22°C 26%
24°C 25%
21°C 5%
NOWE
$17,205 Wol.
NOWE
$17,205 Wol.
Aug 6, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
26%
23°C
44%
24°C
25%
25°C
5%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 44%
22°C 26%
24°C 25%
21°C 5%
NOWE
$17,205 Wol.
NOWE
$17,205 Wol.
Aug 6, 2026
19°C or below
$3,013 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$1,462 Wol.
2%
21°C
$1,974 Wol.
5%
22°C
$2,631 Wol.
26%
23°C
$2,874 Wol.
44%
24°C
$939 Wol.
25%
25°C
$1,165 Wol.
5%
26°C
$686 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$862 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$501 Wol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$1,097 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs position 22–24°C as the most probable range for London’s August 6 maximum, with 23°C carrying the highest implied probability. A high-pressure ridge that produced 29°C on August 4 is shifting eastward, allowing cooler northwesterly flow and increased cloud cover to moderate temperatures. This transition aligns with climatological late-summer norms near 23°C while reducing the chance of renewed southerly advection that could push readings to 25°C or above. Updated short-range forecasts issued within the last 24 hours show limited spread across guidance, supporting trader consensus around the 23°C outcome ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$17,205Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs position 22–24°C as the most probable range for London’s August 6 maximum, with 23°C carrying the highest implied probability. A high-pressure ridge that produced 29°C on August 4 is shifting eastward, allowing cooler northwesterly flow and increased cloud cover to moderate temperatures. This transition aligns with climatological late-summer norms near 23°C while reducing the chance of renewed southerly advection that could push readings to 25°C or above. Updated short-range forecasts issued within the last 24 hours show limited spread across guidance, supporting trader consensus around the 23°C outcome ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$17,205Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs position 22–24°C as the most probable range for London’s August 6 maximum, with 23°C carrying the highest implied probability. A high-pressure ridge that produced 29°C on August 4 is shifting eastward, allowing cooler northwesterly flow and increased cloud cover to moderate temperatures. This transition aligns with climatological late-summer norms near 23°C while reducing the chance of renewed southerly advection that could push readings to 25°C or above. Updated short-range forecasts issued within the last 24 hours show limited spread across guidance, supporting trader consensus around the 23°C outcome ahead of final observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania