Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office and European models indicate London’s minimum temperature on August 6 will likely fall in the 13–15°C range amid a transition from recent above-average warmth, with clearer skies overnight promoting radiative cooling. Summer 2026 has run 1.8°C above the long-term UK average through mid-July, sustaining a mild air mass that has limited deeper nocturnal drops despite light winds. Trader consensus reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 15°C and 29.5% for 14°C aligns with ensemble guidance showing modest cooling from the prior day’s 17°C low, while lower outcomes like 13°C carry only 4.5% odds due to limited model support for stronger radiational effects. Updated high-resolution runs and official briefings ahead of the overnight period remain the key variables that could shift these market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on August 6?
Lowest temperature in London on August 6?
15°C 51%
14°C 31%
16°C 12%
13°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
6%
14°C
31%
15°C
51%
16°C
12%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 51%
14°C 31%
16°C 12%
13°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
10°C or below
$40 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$130 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$175 Wol.
1%
13°C
$127 Wol.
6%
14°C
$567 Wol.
31%
15°C
$1,305 Wol.
51%
16°C
$164 Wol.
12%
17°C
$136 Wol.
1%
18°C
$118 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$30 Wol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$24 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office and European models indicate London’s minimum temperature on August 6 will likely fall in the 13–15°C range amid a transition from recent above-average warmth, with clearer skies overnight promoting radiative cooling. Summer 2026 has run 1.8°C above the long-term UK average through mid-July, sustaining a mild air mass that has limited deeper nocturnal drops despite light winds. Trader consensus reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 15°C and 29.5% for 14°C aligns with ensemble guidance showing modest cooling from the prior day’s 17°C low, while lower outcomes like 13°C carry only 4.5% odds due to limited model support for stronger radiational effects. Updated high-resolution runs and official briefings ahead of the overnight period remain the key variables that could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,815Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office and European models indicate London’s minimum temperature on August 6 will likely fall in the 13–15°C range amid a transition from recent above-average warmth, with clearer skies overnight promoting radiative cooling. Summer 2026 has run 1.8°C above the long-term UK average through mid-July, sustaining a mild air mass that has limited deeper nocturnal drops despite light winds. Trader consensus reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 15°C and 29.5% for 14°C aligns with ensemble guidance showing modest cooling from the prior day’s 17°C low, while lower outcomes like 13°C carry only 4.5% odds due to limited model support for stronger radiational effects. Updated high-resolution runs and official briefings ahead of the overnight period remain the key variables that could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,815Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office and European models indicate London’s minimum temperature on August 6 will likely fall in the 13–15°C range amid a transition from recent above-average warmth, with clearer skies overnight promoting radiative cooling. Summer 2026 has run 1.8°C above the long-term UK average through mid-July, sustaining a mild air mass that has limited deeper nocturnal drops despite light winds. Trader consensus reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 15°C and 29.5% for 14°C aligns with ensemble guidance showing modest cooling from the prior day’s 17°C low, while lower outcomes like 13°C carry only 4.5% odds due to limited model support for stronger radiational effects. Updated high-resolution runs and official briefings ahead of the overnight period remain the key variables that could shift these market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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