Forecasts from the Met Office and supporting models indicate a warm, humid air mass over southern England with light winds and limited overnight radiative cooling, positioning an 18°C minimum as the consensus outcome for London on August 5. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 17–18°C under partly cloudy skies, consistent with above-average August temperatures and the absence of a cooler northerly flow. This setup favors 18°C (market-implied 54.5%) and 19°C (38.0%) as the dominant resolutions, while lower outcomes like 17°C remain possible only if clearer skies enhance cooling before dawn. Traders monitor the next model runs for any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that could alter the daily minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on August 5?
Lowest temperature in London on August 5?
18°C 50%
19°C 44%
17°C 2%
15°C <1%
NOWE
$33,841 Wol.
NOWE
$33,841 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
50%
19°C
44%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 50%
19°C 44%
17°C 2%
15°C <1%
NOWE
$33,841 Wol.
NOWE
$33,841 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
13°C or below
$1,564 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$2,204 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$3,334 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$2,766 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$6,731 Wol.
2%
18°C
$4,615 Wol.
50%
19°C
$4,619 Wol.
44%
20°C
$5,619 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$1,658 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$342 Wol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$391 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the Met Office and supporting models indicate a warm, humid air mass over southern England with light winds and limited overnight radiative cooling, positioning an 18°C minimum as the consensus outcome for London on August 5. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 17–18°C under partly cloudy skies, consistent with above-average August temperatures and the absence of a cooler northerly flow. This setup favors 18°C (market-implied 54.5%) and 19°C (38.0%) as the dominant resolutions, while lower outcomes like 17°C remain possible only if clearer skies enhance cooling before dawn. Traders monitor the next model runs for any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that could alter the daily minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$33,841Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the Met Office and supporting models indicate a warm, humid air mass over southern England with light winds and limited overnight radiative cooling, positioning an 18°C minimum as the consensus outcome for London on August 5. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 17–18°C under partly cloudy skies, consistent with above-average August temperatures and the absence of a cooler northerly flow. This setup favors 18°C (market-implied 54.5%) and 19°C (38.0%) as the dominant resolutions, while lower outcomes like 17°C remain possible only if clearer skies enhance cooling before dawn. Traders monitor the next model runs for any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that could alter the daily minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$33,841Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the Met Office and supporting models indicate a warm, humid air mass over southern England with light winds and limited overnight radiative cooling, positioning an 18°C minimum as the consensus outcome for London on August 5. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 17–18°C under partly cloudy skies, consistent with above-average August temperatures and the absence of a cooler northerly flow. This setup favors 18°C (market-implied 54.5%) and 19°C (38.0%) as the dominant resolutions, while lower outcomes like 17°C remain possible only if clearer skies enhance cooling before dawn. Traders monitor the next model runs for any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that could alter the daily minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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