**Trader consensus on a 28°C high in Manila today stems primarily from official PAGASA forecasts showing a 25–30°C range under the southwest monsoon and lingering low-pressure influences, which promote persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and suppressed daytime heating.** These conditions align with climatological norms for early August in the region, where frequent rainfall and high humidity typically cap maximum temperatures near or below 30°C. Model consensus reinforces this outlook, with limited potential for significant clearing that could allow brief spikes. A realistic challenge would require unexpected dissipation of cloud cover or a sharper steering pattern shift, potentially pushing readings to 29–30°C if verified at the official recording station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on August 5?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 5?
28°C 99.8%
29°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$25,026 Wol.
$25,026 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.8%
29°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$25,026 Wol.
$25,026 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
$938 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$267 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$434 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$440 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$1,625 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$2,752 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$4,575 Wol.
100%
29°C
$5,685 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$3,738 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$2,696 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,876 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 28°C high in Manila today stems primarily from official PAGASA forecasts showing a 25–30°C range under the southwest monsoon and lingering low-pressure influences, which promote persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and suppressed daytime heating.**
These conditions align with climatological norms for early August in the region, where frequent rainfall and high humidity typically cap maximum temperatures near or below 30°C. Model consensus reinforces this outlook, with limited potential for significant clearing that could allow brief spikes. A realistic challenge would require unexpected dissipation of cloud cover or a sharper steering pattern shift, potentially pushing readings to 29–30°C if verified at the official recording station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$25,026Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 28°C high in Manila today stems primarily from official PAGASA forecasts showing a 25–30°C range under the southwest monsoon and lingering low-pressure influences, which promote persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and suppressed daytime heating.**
These conditions align with climatological norms for early August in the region, where frequent rainfall and high humidity typically cap maximum temperatures near or below 30°C. Model consensus reinforces this outlook, with limited potential for significant clearing that could allow brief spikes. A realistic challenge would require unexpected dissipation of cloud cover or a sharper steering pattern shift, potentially pushing readings to 29–30°C if verified at the official recording station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$25,026Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on a 28°C high in Manila today stems primarily from official PAGASA forecasts showing a 25–30°C range under the southwest monsoon and lingering low-pressure influences, which promote persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and suppressed daytime heating.** These conditions align with climatological norms for early August in the region, where frequent rainfall and high humidity typically cap maximum temperatures near or below 30°C. Model consensus reinforces this outlook, with limited potential for significant clearing that could allow brief spikes. A realistic challenge would require unexpected dissipation of cloud cover or a sharper steering pattern shift, potentially pushing readings to 29–30°C if verified at the official recording station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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