Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather project Istanbul's August 5 high near 29–30°C under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and moderate northeasterly winds typical of midsummer Mediterranean patterns. These align with historical August averages of 28–30°C and recent model consensus showing limited variability, positioning 28°C and 29°C as the dominant market outcomes at combined 88.5% implied probability. Minor upward revisions in some runs reflect localized urban heat effects, yet no significant heat advection or instability is expected to push temperatures to 31°C or higher. Updated model outputs later today will further refine the final recorded maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 5?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 5?
29°C 52%
28°C 39%
30°C 11%
27°C <1%
$29,777 Wol.
$29,777 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
39%
29°C
49%
30°C
11%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 52%
28°C 39%
30°C 11%
27°C <1%
$29,777 Wol.
$29,777 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
24°C or below
$443 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$447 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$1,234 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$2,526 Wol.
1%
28°C
$6,607 Wol.
39%
29°C
$3,835 Wol.
49%
30°C
$3,292 Wol.
11%
31°C
$3,212 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$2,698 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$2,310 Wol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$3,173 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather project Istanbul's August 5 high near 29–30°C under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and moderate northeasterly winds typical of midsummer Mediterranean patterns. These align with historical August averages of 28–30°C and recent model consensus showing limited variability, positioning 28°C and 29°C as the dominant market outcomes at combined 88.5% implied probability. Minor upward revisions in some runs reflect localized urban heat effects, yet no significant heat advection or instability is expected to push temperatures to 31°C or higher. Updated model outputs later today will further refine the final recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$29,777Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather project Istanbul's August 5 high near 29–30°C under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and moderate northeasterly winds typical of midsummer Mediterranean patterns. These align with historical August averages of 28–30°C and recent model consensus showing limited variability, positioning 28°C and 29°C as the dominant market outcomes at combined 88.5% implied probability. Minor upward revisions in some runs reflect localized urban heat effects, yet no significant heat advection or instability is expected to push temperatures to 31°C or higher. Updated model outputs later today will further refine the final recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$29,777Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather project Istanbul's August 5 high near 29–30°C under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and moderate northeasterly winds typical of midsummer Mediterranean patterns. These align with historical August averages of 28–30°C and recent model consensus showing limited variability, positioning 28°C and 29°C as the dominant market outcomes at combined 88.5% implied probability. Minor upward revisions in some runs reflect localized urban heat effects, yet no significant heat advection or instability is expected to push temperatures to 31°C or higher. Updated model outputs later today will further refine the final recorded maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania