Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service project a Dallas high near 100°F on August 5, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, southerly flow from the Gulf, and typical late-summer solar heating that supports the market's 54.5% implied probability on the 100-101°F bin. This exceeds the long-term August average high of about 96°F at DFW, reflecting above-normal conditions amid recent daily readings of 99°F. Lower-probability outcomes above 102°F remain limited by model consensus on modest moisture and wind patterns that cap intensification, while cooler bins below 98°F align with minimal downside risk in current guidance. Official verification uses calibrated thermometer data at the primary station, with final resolution expected shortly after sunset.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Dallas on August 5?
100-101°F 55%
98-99°F 27%
102-103°F 16%
104-105°F 2%
$22,639 Wol.
$22,639 Wol.
93°F or below
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
27%
100-101°F
55%
102-103°F
16%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 55%
98-99°F 27%
102-103°F 16%
104-105°F 2%
$22,639 Wol.
$22,639 Wol.
93°F or below
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
27%
100-101°F
55%
102-103°F
16%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service project a Dallas high near 100°F on August 5, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, southerly flow from the Gulf, and typical late-summer solar heating that supports the market's 54.5% implied probability on the 100-101°F bin. This exceeds the long-term August average high of about 96°F at DFW, reflecting above-normal conditions amid recent daily readings of 99°F. Lower-probability outcomes above 102°F remain limited by model consensus on modest moisture and wind patterns that cap intensification, while cooler bins below 98°F align with minimal downside risk in current guidance. Official verification uses calibrated thermometer data at the primary station, with final resolution expected shortly after sunset.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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