Current National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate a seasonable to slightly above-normal high near 84–86°F for Chicago on August 7, driven by weak southwesterly flow under building high pressure with limited cloud cover and minimal lake-breeze suppression. This aligns with 1991–2020 normals of 83.5°F while reflecting the absence of strong cold-air advection or organized convection that has kept recent daily maxima in the upper 70s to low 80s. Key differentiating variables include the strength and timing of any lake breeze front, boundary-layer mixing depth, and small model spread in 850 hPa temperatures; final NWS observations at O’Hare will resolve the exact bin. Trader positioning around the 84–87°F range reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of tomorrow’s verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on August 7?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 7?
86-87°F 37%
84-85°F 32%
88-89°F 17%
82-83°F 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
17%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 37%
84-85°F 32%
88-89°F 17%
82-83°F 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
75°F or below
$198 Wol.
1%
76-77°F
$393 Wol.
1%
78-79°F
$86 Wol.
3%
80-81°F
$86 Wol.
3%
82-83°F
$63 Wol.
10%
84-85°F
$115 Wol.
32%
86-87°F
$373 Wol.
37%
88-89°F
$64 Wol.
17%
90-91°F
$120 Wol.
4%
92-93°F
$52 Wol.
1%
94°F or higher
$80 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate a seasonable to slightly above-normal high near 84–86°F for Chicago on August 7, driven by weak southwesterly flow under building high pressure with limited cloud cover and minimal lake-breeze suppression. This aligns with 1991–2020 normals of 83.5°F while reflecting the absence of strong cold-air advection or organized convection that has kept recent daily maxima in the upper 70s to low 80s. Key differentiating variables include the strength and timing of any lake breeze front, boundary-layer mixing depth, and small model spread in 850 hPa temperatures; final NWS observations at O’Hare will resolve the exact bin. Trader positioning around the 84–87°F range reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of tomorrow’s verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,630Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate a seasonable to slightly above-normal high near 84–86°F for Chicago on August 7, driven by weak southwesterly flow under building high pressure with limited cloud cover and minimal lake-breeze suppression. This aligns with 1991–2020 normals of 83.5°F while reflecting the absence of strong cold-air advection or organized convection that has kept recent daily maxima in the upper 70s to low 80s. Key differentiating variables include the strength and timing of any lake breeze front, boundary-layer mixing depth, and small model spread in 850 hPa temperatures; final NWS observations at O’Hare will resolve the exact bin. Trader positioning around the 84–87°F range reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of tomorrow’s verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,630Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate a seasonable to slightly above-normal high near 84–86°F for Chicago on August 7, driven by weak southwesterly flow under building high pressure with limited cloud cover and minimal lake-breeze suppression. This aligns with 1991–2020 normals of 83.5°F while reflecting the absence of strong cold-air advection or organized convection that has kept recent daily maxima in the upper 70s to low 80s. Key differentiating variables include the strength and timing of any lake breeze front, boundary-layer mixing depth, and small model spread in 850 hPa temperatures; final NWS observations at O’Hare will resolve the exact bin. Trader positioning around the 84–87°F range reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of tomorrow’s verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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