**Persistent summer warmth and high humidity are anchoring trader expectations for a 27°C minimum in Hong Kong on August 6.** Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate overnight lows near 27°C under mostly clear to scattered-cloud conditions, with daytime highs reaching 33°C. Limited nocturnal radiative cooling—typical in August due to elevated moisture levels and the urban heat island—combined with light southerly flow prevents significant drops. Seasonal outlooks noting normal-to-above-normal temperatures further support this range, while recent days have seen similar minima around 25–27°C. The market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (47.5%) and 28°C (26.5%) reflects stable atmospheric patterns, with lower probabilities for 26°C or cooler outcomes hinging on any unexpected wind shifts or clearer skies that could enhance cooling before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?
27°C 48%
28°C 27%
26°C 15%
25°C 11%
NOWE
$12,487 Wol.
NOWE
$12,487 Wol.
Aug 6, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
11%
26°C
15%
27°C
48%
28°C
27%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 48%
28°C 27%
26°C 15%
25°C 11%
NOWE
$12,487 Wol.
NOWE
$12,487 Wol.
Aug 6, 2026
21°C or below
$381 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$777 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$459 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$571 Wol.
4%
25°C
$1,031 Wol.
11%
26°C
$1,058 Wol.
15%
27°C
$1,836 Wol.
48%
28°C
$2,045 Wol.
27%
29°C
$3,385 Wol.
1%
30°C
$473 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$469 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent summer warmth and high humidity are anchoring trader expectations for a 27°C minimum in Hong Kong on August 6.** Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate overnight lows near 27°C under mostly clear to scattered-cloud conditions, with daytime highs reaching 33°C. Limited nocturnal radiative cooling—typical in August due to elevated moisture levels and the urban heat island—combined with light southerly flow prevents significant drops. Seasonal outlooks noting normal-to-above-normal temperatures further support this range, while recent days have seen similar minima around 25–27°C. The market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (47.5%) and 28°C (26.5%) reflects stable atmospheric patterns, with lower probabilities for 26°C or cooler outcomes hinging on any unexpected wind shifts or clearer skies that could enhance cooling before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$12,487Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent summer warmth and high humidity are anchoring trader expectations for a 27°C minimum in Hong Kong on August 6.** Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate overnight lows near 27°C under mostly clear to scattered-cloud conditions, with daytime highs reaching 33°C. Limited nocturnal radiative cooling—typical in August due to elevated moisture levels and the urban heat island—combined with light southerly flow prevents significant drops. Seasonal outlooks noting normal-to-above-normal temperatures further support this range, while recent days have seen similar minima around 25–27°C. The market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (47.5%) and 28°C (26.5%) reflects stable atmospheric patterns, with lower probabilities for 26°C or cooler outcomes hinging on any unexpected wind shifts or clearer skies that could enhance cooling before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$12,487Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent summer warmth and high humidity are anchoring trader expectations for a 27°C minimum in Hong Kong on August 6.** Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate overnight lows near 27°C under mostly clear to scattered-cloud conditions, with daytime highs reaching 33°C. Limited nocturnal radiative cooling—typical in August due to elevated moisture levels and the urban heat island—combined with light southerly flow prevents significant drops. Seasonal outlooks noting normal-to-above-normal temperatures further support this range, while recent days have seen similar minima around 25–27°C. The market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (47.5%) and 28°C (26.5%) reflects stable atmospheric patterns, with lower probabilities for 26°C or cooler outcomes hinging on any unexpected wind shifts or clearer skies that could enhance cooling before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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