Cape Town's mid-winter temperatures on August 8 hinge on the interplay of a strengthening high-pressure system, possible Atlantic cold-front approaches, and local wind regimes that can produce brief bergwind warming. With the market showing 17°C at 39.5% and 18°C at 36.5%—closely matched amid 15–19°C alternatives—traders are weighing model consensus around the long-term August average high of 17°C against short-term variability in cloud cover, sea-surface temperatures, and steering flow. Official guidance from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles currently points to partly cloudy conditions with daytime maxima near 17–18°C, though minor shifts in frontal timing or onshore flow could tip the highest reading either way before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 8?
17°C 41%
18°C 37%
16°C 15%
19°C 8%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
15%
17°C
41%
18°C
37%
19°C
8%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
2%
17°C 41%
18°C 37%
16°C 15%
19°C 8%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
15%
17°C
41%
18°C
37%
19°C
8%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cape Town's mid-winter temperatures on August 8 hinge on the interplay of a strengthening high-pressure system, possible Atlantic cold-front approaches, and local wind regimes that can produce brief bergwind warming. With the market showing 17°C at 39.5% and 18°C at 36.5%—closely matched amid 15–19°C alternatives—traders are weighing model consensus around the long-term August average high of 17°C against short-term variability in cloud cover, sea-surface temperatures, and steering flow. Official guidance from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles currently points to partly cloudy conditions with daytime maxima near 17–18°C, though minor shifts in frontal timing or onshore flow could tip the highest reading either way before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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