Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the UK Met Office shows Amsterdam cooling after highs of 29–32°C on August 3–4, with a projected daytime maximum of 21°C on August 6 under increasing northerly flow and possible cloud cover. This aligns with trader positioning, where 21°C holds the highest implied probability at 46.5%, followed closely by 20°C and 22°C. Ensemble guidance indicates limited potential for warmer outcomes unless high-pressure ridging strengthens unexpectedly, while cooler 19°C or below remains unlikely given current sea-surface temperatures and seasonal baselines. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will be key for any probability shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 6?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 6?
21°C 42%
22°C 30%
20°C 25%
19°C 3%
NOWE
$18,026 Wol.
NOWE
$18,026 Wol.
Aug 6, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
25%
21°C
42%
22°C
30%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 42%
22°C 30%
20°C 25%
19°C 3%
NOWE
$18,026 Wol.
NOWE
$18,026 Wol.
Aug 6, 2026
17°C or below
$859 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$1,285 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$1,646 Wol.
3%
20°C
$3,757 Wol.
25%
21°C
$2,061 Wol.
42%
22°C
$3,327 Wol.
30%
23°C
$1,400 Wol.
2%
24°C
$1,252 Wol.
1%
25°C
$935 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$523 Wol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$1,323 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the UK Met Office shows Amsterdam cooling after highs of 29–32°C on August 3–4, with a projected daytime maximum of 21°C on August 6 under increasing northerly flow and possible cloud cover. This aligns with trader positioning, where 21°C holds the highest implied probability at 46.5%, followed closely by 20°C and 22°C. Ensemble guidance indicates limited potential for warmer outcomes unless high-pressure ridging strengthens unexpectedly, while cooler 19°C or below remains unlikely given current sea-surface temperatures and seasonal baselines. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will be key for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$18,026Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the UK Met Office shows Amsterdam cooling after highs of 29–32°C on August 3–4, with a projected daytime maximum of 21°C on August 6 under increasing northerly flow and possible cloud cover. This aligns with trader positioning, where 21°C holds the highest implied probability at 46.5%, followed closely by 20°C and 22°C. Ensemble guidance indicates limited potential for warmer outcomes unless high-pressure ridging strengthens unexpectedly, while cooler 19°C or below remains unlikely given current sea-surface temperatures and seasonal baselines. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will be key for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$18,026Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the UK Met Office shows Amsterdam cooling after highs of 29–32°C on August 3–4, with a projected daytime maximum of 21°C on August 6 under increasing northerly flow and possible cloud cover. This aligns with trader positioning, where 21°C holds the highest implied probability at 46.5%, followed closely by 20°C and 22°C. Ensemble guidance indicates limited potential for warmer outcomes unless high-pressure ridging strengthens unexpectedly, while cooler 19°C or below remains unlikely given current sea-surface temperatures and seasonal baselines. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will be key for any probability shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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