Recent European model consensus, including guidance from meteorological agencies, points to a peak of 25°C in Amsterdam on August 5 amid moderating high pressure and a shift to cooler northerly flow following the early-August heatwave. Light winds, partly cloudy skies, and limited daytime heating under this regime support the market's strong weighting toward 25°C (56.5% implied probability) and nearby outcomes at 24–26°C. Historical August averages near 22°C and the narrow 1–2°C uncertainty from local factors like cloud cover or urban effects further align trader sentiment with these tight clusters, as updated short-range runs show minimal divergence ahead of official KNMI observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 5?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 5?
25°C 56%
26°C 24%
24°C 19%
23°C 1.0%
NOWE
$32,646 Wol.
NOWE
$32,646 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
19%
25°C
56%
26°C
24%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 56%
26°C 24%
24°C 19%
23°C 1.0%
NOWE
$32,646 Wol.
NOWE
$32,646 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
20°C or below
$2,749 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$2,639 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$1,874 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$5,742 Wol.
1%
24°C
$4,616 Wol.
19%
25°C
$4,478 Wol.
56%
26°C
$4,481 Wol.
24%
27°C
$1,782 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$964 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$566 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$2,756 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus, including guidance from meteorological agencies, points to a peak of 25°C in Amsterdam on August 5 amid moderating high pressure and a shift to cooler northerly flow following the early-August heatwave. Light winds, partly cloudy skies, and limited daytime heating under this regime support the market's strong weighting toward 25°C (56.5% implied probability) and nearby outcomes at 24–26°C. Historical August averages near 22°C and the narrow 1–2°C uncertainty from local factors like cloud cover or urban effects further align trader sentiment with these tight clusters, as updated short-range runs show minimal divergence ahead of official KNMI observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Wolumen
$32,646Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus, including guidance from meteorological agencies, points to a peak of 25°C in Amsterdam on August 5 amid moderating high pressure and a shift to cooler northerly flow following the early-August heatwave. Light winds, partly cloudy skies, and limited daytime heating under this regime support the market's strong weighting toward 25°C (56.5% implied probability) and nearby outcomes at 24–26°C. Historical August averages near 22°C and the narrow 1–2°C uncertainty from local factors like cloud cover or urban effects further align trader sentiment with these tight clusters, as updated short-range runs show minimal divergence ahead of official KNMI observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$32,646Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European model consensus, including guidance from meteorological agencies, points to a peak of 25°C in Amsterdam on August 5 amid moderating high pressure and a shift to cooler northerly flow following the early-August heatwave. Light winds, partly cloudy skies, and limited daytime heating under this regime support the market's strong weighting toward 25°C (56.5% implied probability) and nearby outcomes at 24–26°C. Historical August averages near 22°C and the narrow 1–2°C uncertainty from local factors like cloud cover or urban effects further align trader sentiment with these tight clusters, as updated short-range runs show minimal divergence ahead of official KNMI observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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